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Trading carbon credits for human rights: Does Article 6.4 of the Paris Agreement protect Indigenous Peoples and local communities?
The report argues that the Article 6.4 Sustainable Development (SD) Tool is primarily procedural and fails to protect Indigenous Peoples and local communities due to an overreliance on national laws, narrow definitions of Indigenous status, and a restrictive approach to Free, Prior and Informed Consent (FPIC). Geospatial analysis reveals that hundreds of projects in the Article 6 pipeline—including both new notifications and transitioning Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) projects—overlap with or are in close proximity to Indigenous and community lands, particularly in Asia. Documented cases in India, Kenya, Colombia, and Brazil demonstrate that these gaps have already led to involuntary resettlement, inadequate compensation, and long-term land conflicts.
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Document type: Report
Colonial Logics in the Mobilization Mechanics of Climate Disinformation
The study argues that climate disinformation in the Global South is not a digital accident but a reactivation of 'colonial logics of mediated authority.' By analyzing 200 social media posts and socio-cultural indices across eleven former British colonies in Africa, the author develops a 'Model of Indirect Epistemic Domination.' This model posits that disinformation achieves legitimacy by using trusted intermediaries—such as religious leaders and social media influencers—to frame climate falsehoods as indigenous truths. Statistical analysis reveals that religiosity and media access are the strongest predictors of susceptibility to climate disinformation, while formal education and trust in science do not provide significant protection.
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Document type: Research paper
REPORT
The report introduces the National Integrated Clean Cooking Planning (NICCP) for Rwanda, utilizing the Integrated Clean Cooking Planning Tool (ICCPT) and a financial model to assess paths toward clean cooking access. It compares two scenarios: the 'Aligned' plan, which follows current government ambitions, and the 'CleanStep' plan, which prioritizes rapid adoption by 2029 followed by economic recovery. Key findings indicate that while infrastructure deployment is necessary, affordability gaps—particularly in rural areas—remain a primary barrier. The CleanStep plan achieves higher adoption and better environmental outcomes by 2029, while the Aligned plan shows better health outcomes and lower long-term funding requirements by 2034. Both plans emphasize the potential of carbon credits and the need for combined pricing measures (subsidies on both appliances and fuels) to ensure sustainable transitions.
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Document type: Report
Charcoal production in the Argentine Dry Chaco: where, how and who?
The study finds that charcoal production in the Argentine Dry Chaco is dominated by individual or small-scale producers often associated with forest land cover, while larger kiln clusters are linked to cleared land for cultivation. While overall regional production has remained stable for 50 years, there has been a redistribution of activity from wealthier to poorer provinces. The authors conclude that small-scale production by poor rural populations currently provides the only market incentive for forest preservation, though it is characterized by inefficiency and forest degradation.
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Document type: Research paper
Strengthening the Enabling Environment for Inclusive and Effective OECMs in Latin America
The document examines the implementation of OECMs in Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, and Peru, arguing that while the region has immense potential due to existing Complementary Conservation Areas (CCAs) and Indigenous and Traditional Territories (ITTs), systemic gaps in tenure security, legal coherence, and financial support must be addressed to ensure conservation is inclusive and effective.
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Document type: Executive summary
Balancing energy security and a healthy environment
The document examines the expansion of non-conventional hydrocarbon production in the Vaca Muerta region of Argentina, highlighting significant risks to water sources and public health. Using the OBSERVAR spatial data platform, the authors identify thousands of wells in high-risk proximity to communities and water bodies, while noting a critical lack of transparent data on wastewater management. The brief argues that current provincial regulations in Neuquén and Río Negro are insufficient or inconsistently enforced and recommends a watershed-based governance approach, the creation of buffer zones, and mandatory reviews of older conventional wells before new fracking permits are issued.
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Document type: Policy brief
BEYOND GENSETS: ADVANCING THE ENERGY TRANSITION IN LAGOS STATE
The study estimates that Lagos State has approximately 19 GW of genset capacity, producing 39 million tons of CO2 equivalent annually. High upfront costs are the primary barrier to solar adoption, despite strong interest from households and MSMEs. The report advocates for lease-to-own models and standardized solar designs to replace petrol and diesel generators.
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Document type: Report
Credit Where It's Due: Unearthing the Relationship Between Rural Credit Subsidies and Deforestation
The analysis reveals that 31% of properties that deforested in Brazil between 2020 and 2022 accessed subsidized rural credit, with a small number of large properties absorbing a significant portion of these funds. The study finds that deforestation is highly concentrated among the largest credit recipients, particularly in the Cerrado biome, and argues that current credit restrictions based on environmental embargoes are insufficient because most deforested properties are not embargoed.
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Document type: Policy brief
CAR a CAR: A Relação Entre o Crédito Rural Subsidiado e o Desmatamento
The report finds that 31% of properties that deforested in Brazil between 2020 and 2022 accessed subsidized rural credit, receiving an average of R$ 14 billion annually. This deforestation is highly concentrated in large properties, with the largest 5% of credit recipients accounting for 74% of the associated vegetation loss. The Cerrado biome is the most affected, containing 50% of the deforestation associated with subsidized credit. The authors argue that current restrictions, such as environmental embargos, are insufficient as less than 5% of new deforestation areas were embarged. They recommend that subsidized credit be granted exclusively to properties without any deforestation, regardless of the legality of the suppression.
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Document type: Policy brief
MADAGASCAR Integrated Energy Access Planning – CLEAN COOKING REPORT
The report assesses Madagascar's clean cooking landscape, where only 5% of households use clean technologies. It models two 2030 scenarios: a baseline based on the SDG7 Energy Compact and a 'Universal Access' scenario emphasizing e-cooking and biofuels. Key findings highlight that while bioethanol, biogas, and pellets have vast production potential, affordability remains the primary barrier. The transition could significantly reduce deforestation and avert thousands of deaths from indoor air pollution, particularly benefiting women who bear the brunt of fuel collection and cooking tasks.
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Document type: Report
POWER SYSTEM EXPANSION POLAND
The study investigates the transition of Poland's power system to a 99% reduction in emissions by 2050. The 'base' scenario identifies onshore wind as the dominant generation source, complemented by nuclear power, gas plants with carbon capture and storage (CCS), and hydrogen storage. The analysis emphasizes that a technology-inclusive approach is essential for competitiveness, as scenarios excluding nuclear and CCS result in significantly higher electricity prices and system costs. Key recommendations include maximizing onshore wind deployment, advancing a nuclear fleet exceeding 8 GW, and establishing CO2 transport and storage infrastructure by 2035.
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Document type: Report
Appendix: Technical methodology for evaluating technical potential of energy technology deployment on federal lands
The methodology involves isolating specific federal agency lands in the contiguous US, intersecting these areas with resource suitability data from the Princeton Net Zero America Study and the Global Heat Flow Database, and applying conservative and optimistic capacity density estimates to calculate total gigawatt (GW) hosting capacity across four scenarios.
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Document type: Guide
Natural climate solutions and fire mitigation: early findings on the path to net zero
The study finds that while forest fires are a threat, the VCS Program's pooled buffer account is adequately capitalized to guarantee credit permanence. Analysis of six REDD+ projects shows that some, such as the Katingan Peatland Restoration Project, generate fire-mitigation co-benefits through advanced management practices, while others do not. Only one reversal was identified across 190 AFOLU projects, which was fully compensated by the buffer pool.
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Document type: Research paper
A three-dimensional view of charging infrastructure equity
Using Sweden as a case study, the document examines three dimensions of charging infrastructure equity: data transparency, local accessibility, and demand flexibility. It finds that private charger density is positively correlated with disposable income and concentrated in urban areas, while car density is higher in regions where charger access is lower. The authors argue that private charging is essential for cost-effective, flexible energy use and recommend that municipalities monitor infrastructure at the postcode level to address structural inequalities.
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Document type: Policy brief
A three-dimensional view of Charging infrastructure equity
Using Sweden as a case study, this policy brief argues that electric vehicle (EV) infrastructure equity requires a focus on private charging rather than just public charging. The analysis reveals that private charger density is positively correlated with disposable income and negatively correlated with car density, meaning chargers are most concentrated in wealthy urban areas where car ownership is lowest. The authors highlight a critical lack of official data on private charging and argue that private charging is essential for cost-effective, flexible energy use. They recommend that municipalities collect data at the postcode level to identify and address structural inequalities in charger deployment.
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Document type: Policy brief
Sink or swim: How Indigenous and community lands can make or break nationally determined contributions
The document argues that the 2030 global mitigation targets of the Paris Agreement cannot be met without protecting and empowering IPLCs. Analysis of Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru shows that 92% of forested IPLC lands are net carbon sinks, sequestering an average of 30 metric tons of carbon per hectare annually—more than twice the rate of non-IPLC lands. Despite this, the NDCs of these four countries largely fail to acknowledge the role of IPLC lands in meeting national targets. The paper identifies critical governance gaps, including lack of legal land recognition, limited land rights, and poor implementation of free, prior, and informed consent (FPIC). It also highlights the prevalence of illegal deforestation and violence against environmental defenders. The authors recommend that governments strengthen partnerships with IPLCs, ensure full legal land titling, and integrate specific IPLC carbon sequestration data into national inventories.
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Document type: Briefing
Todo o nada: Cómo las tierras indígenas y comunitarias pueden llevar las contribuciones determinadas a nivel nacional al éxito o al fracaso
The report argues that the climate goals of Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru are heavily dependent on the carbon sequestration provided by IPLC lands, yet these lands are insufficiently recognized in national climate policies and face severe threats from illegal activities and governance gaps.
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Document type: Research paper
Tudo ou nada: Como as terras indígenas e comunitárias podem ser decisivas para o sucesso das contribuições nacionalmente determinadas
The report argues that the lands of indigenous peoples and local communities (PICLs) in Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru are critical carbon sinks that are currently undervalued in national climate commitments. Analysis shows that 92% of PICL forest lands in these countries are net carbon sinks, sequestering an average of 30 tonnes of carbon per hectare annually—more than double the rate of non-PICL lands. Despite this, the NDCs of these four countries contain limited references to PICLs and lack specific targets for protecting their lands. The report identifies significant governance gaps, including incomplete land titling, limited land rights, and the failure to implement Free, Prior and Informed Consent (FPIC). It further highlights that these lands are under constant threat from illegal mining, logging, and agribusiness, often involving state collusion. The authors recommend that governments strengthen partnerships with PICLs, integrate their carbon sequestration data into national inventories, and ensure full legal recognition and protection of their territories to meet 2030 climate goals.
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Document type: Report
OPPORTUNITIES FOR TIGER RECOVERY ACROSS THEIR HISTORIC RANGE
The report identifies 1.7 million km² of potentially suitable tiger habitat across 15 countries, representing a >250% increase over the current range. It argues that range recovery is feasible through natural dispersal—as 50% of these areas are within 100km of existing populations—and planned reintroductions, provided there is strong political will, community support, and prey restoration.
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Document type: Report
Cycling in Vancouver: A portrait of bicycle ridership and safety in Vancouver 2010-2020
The report finds that bicycle ridership in Vancouver grew consistently between 2010 and 2020, driven by a 28% expansion of the protected cycling network. While total collisions decreased in 2019 and 2020, the highest collision risk occurs in late fall and early winter. A key finding is the distinction between high-frequency collision sites (often in the downtown core on existing facilities) and high-risk sites (often on arterials lacking protected infrastructure).
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Document type: Report