2012년 글로벌 리스크 보고서 (제7판)
Summary
The World Economic Forum's 2012 Global Risks Report assesses 50 risks across economic, environmental, geopolitical, societal, and technological categories. It introduces 'Centres of Gravity' to identify systemic risks and explores 'risk constellations'—combinations of risks that can lead to catastrophic outcomes. Key themes include the rise of social and economic instability, the vulnerability of critical infrastructure to cyber attacks, and the need for 'anticipatory governance' to manage complex systems. A special report on the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake illustrates how localized disasters can trigger global systemic failures through interconnected supply chains and regulatory reactions.
Key insights
- The report identifies five 'Centres of Gravity' representing the most systemically important risks in each category: chronic fiscal imbalances (economic), greenhouse gas emissions (environmental), global governance failure (geopolitical), unsustainable population growth (societal), and major system failure (technological).
- The report argues for 'anticipatory governance,' a flexible and dynamic regulatory approach that monitors innovation in real-time and adjusts safeguards, rather than relying on rigid, reactive, or purely precautionary models that can cause unintended negative side effects.
- Analysis of the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake shows that while Japan's disaster prevention systems reduced direct deaths from earthquakes, the scale of the tsunami exceeded predictions, leading to the Fukushima nuclear crisis and demonstrating how a failure in one system can impact global energy policies, such as Germany's decision to phase out nuclear power.
- The 'lean' business model, which minimizes redundancy and inventory to increase efficiency, has created systemic vulnerabilities where a failure in a single supplier (e.g., Renesas microchips) can halt global production across an entire industry.
- The report identifies 'X Factors'—issues not yet categorized as global risks but requiring monitoring—including volcanic winters, epigenetics, and the militarization of space.
Cite the original document
- APA
- World Economic Forum (2012). 2012년 글로벌 리스크 보고서 (제7판). http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalRisksReport_2012_KO.pdf
- Chicago
- World Economic Forum. 2012년 글로벌 리스크 보고서 (제7판). 2012. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalRisksReport_2012_KO.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=World Economic Forum |title=2012년 글로벌 리스크 보고서 (제7판) |date=2012 |url=http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalRisksReport_2012_KO.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{worldeconomicforum20122012, author = {{World Economic Forum}}, title = {{2012년 글로벌 리스크 보고서 (제7판)}}, institution = {World Economic Forum}, year = {2012}, url = {http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalRisksReport_2012_KO.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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