Rapport sur le Conseil de paix et de sécurité

This April 2013 report by the Institute for Security Studies provides early warning analyses for the African Union's Peace and Security Council (PSC), focusing on political crises and instability in Egypt, Guinea-Bissau, and the Central African Republic.

• Egypt faced a multifaceted political crisis in early 2013 characterized by the absence of an elected parliament, increasing instability in the Sinai, and a need for police and judicial reforms. Economic distress was evident through a 6.3% annual inflation rate as of January 2013 and a capital flight deficit of 1.3 billion dollars between 2011 and 2012.
• President Morsi's administration in Egypt faced growing opposition from the population, opposition parties, and within the Muslim Brotherhood. The formation of the National Salvation Front (FSN) and support from the al-Nour party highlighted a broad coalition against Morsi's perceived power grab, with some critics labeling him 'the new pharaoh'.
• Vulnerable populations in Egypt, particularly refugees, suffered from arbitrary arrests, forced disappearances, and extreme exploitation. There were alarming reports of organ trafficking and the exploitation of Syrian women through forced or desperate marriages.
• Guinea-Bissau experienced a military coup on April 12, 2012, which interrupted the presidential election process. This instability is attributed to the dominance of the armed forces and their ability to impose or remove civilian authorities, often influenced by ethnic dynamics, specifically the dominance of the Balante group within the military.
• The transition in Guinea-Bissau was hampered by divisions within the PAIGC party and a lack of international consensus. While ECOWAS supported the transition and deployed ECOMIB, other actors like Portugal and the EU imposed sanctions and refused to recognize the transitional authorities, which worsened the country's socio-economic situation.
• The Central African Republic (CAR) suffered a major setback when the Séléka rebel coalition seized Bangui on March 24, 2013, violating the Libreville Agreements of January 11, 2013. This led the African Union to suspend CAR's participation in its activities and impose sanctions on Séléka leaders.
• CAR is described as having the characteristics of a failed state, with the government exercising little control outside the capital. The country is ranked 180th out of 187 in the 2013 Human Development Index, plagued by systemic poverty, bad governance, and a political culture where power is acquired through violence.
• External actors have significantly influenced CAR's internal affairs, including France, which has a history of exploiting uranium mines and maintaining a military presence. Chad and South Africa also intervened militarily, though South Africa's intervention was criticized for lacking coordination with neighboring countries.
• The report identifies ongoing security threats across Africa from terrorist groups including Boko Haram in Nigeria, Al-Shabaab in Somalia and Kenya, and Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQMI), despite a reduction in their operational capacities.
• Food security threats and locust invasions were noted as significant concerns for several African countries, specifically mentioning Egypt and Madagascar.

APA

Institute for Security Studies (2013). Rapport sur le Conseil de paix et de sécurité. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/PSC45April_13F.pdf

Chicago

Institute for Security Studies. Rapport sur le Conseil de paix et de sécurité. 2013. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/PSC45April_13F.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Institute for Security Studies |title=Rapport sur le Conseil de paix et de sécurité |date=April 2013 |url=https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/PSC45April_13F.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{instituteforsecuritystudies2013rapport, author = {{Institute for Security Studies}}, title = {{Rapport sur le Conseil de paix et de sécurité}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2013}, month = apr, url = {https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/PSC45April_13F.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }