Os impactos ambientais da Ferrogrão: Uma avaliação ex-ante dos riscos de desmatamento

This policy brief by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI/PUC-Rio) provides an ex-ante assessment of the environmental risks associated with the construction of the EF-170 Ferrogrão railway in Brazil. Using a market access approach, the researchers project that without mitigation measures, the railway will induce significant deforestation in Mato Grosso, leading to substantial carbon emissions and associated economic costs.

• The construction of the EF-170 Ferrogrão railway is projected to induce the deforestation of 2,043 square kilometers of native vegetation in the state of Mato Grosso if no mitigation measures are implemented.
• The projected deforestation is expected to result in carbon emissions of 75 million tons. Based on a carbon price of US$ 25 per ton of carbon equivalent, this represents an environmental cost of approximately US$ 1.9 billion.
• The environmental cost associated with carbon emissions from deforestation is estimated to be approximately 60% of the total projected implementation cost of the railway, which is estimated at US$ 3.1 billion.
• The railway is expected to improve market access for 38 municipalities by an average of 8%, which will incentivize farmers and ranchers to expand production and increase demand for land.
• The researchers note that their deforestation estimate is conservative because it may underestimate current export costs via the port of Miritituba, ignores potential freight reductions in competing corridors (such as BR-163), and does not account for potential population increases in benefited municipalities.
• To mitigate these risks, the document recommends that government agencies and investors incorporate analytical methods to assess deforestation risks in transport infrastructure planning, and that multilateral organizations and green bond issuers include these effects in their evaluations.

APA

Assunção, J., Bragança, A., & Araújo, R. (2020). Os impactos ambientais da Ferrogrão: Uma avaliação ex-ante dos riscos de desmatamento. Climate Policy Initiative. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/PB_Os-impactos-ambientais-da-Ferrograo-1.pdf

Chicago

Assunção, Juliano, Arthur Bragança, and Rafael Araújo. Os impactos ambientais da Ferrogrão: Uma avaliação ex-ante dos riscos de desmatamento. Climate Policy Initiative, 2020. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/PB_Os-impactos-ambientais-da-Ferrograo-1.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Assunção |first1=Juliano |last2=Bragança |first2=Arthur |last3=Araújo |first3=Rafael |title=Os impactos ambientais da Ferrogrão: Uma avaliação ex-ante dos riscos de desmatamento |publisher=Climate Policy Initiative |date=March 2020 |url=https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/PB_Os-impactos-ambientais-da-Ferrograo-1.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{assuno2020impactos, author = {Assunção, Juliano and Bragança, Arthur and Araújo, Rafael}, title = {{Os impactos ambientais da Ferrogrão: Uma avaliação ex-ante dos riscos de desmatamento}}, institution = {Climate Policy Initiative}, year = {2020}, month = mar, url = {https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/PB_Os-impactos-ambientais-da-Ferrograo-1.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }