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2,011 documents from South African Institute of International Affairs
Economic Partnership Agreements and Intellectual Property Rights Protection Challenges for the Southern African Development Community (SADC) Region
The paper examines the tension between EU efforts to include high intellectual property rights (IPR) standards in Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs) and the developmental needs of SADC countries. While the SADC interim EPAs currently focus on goods, the author warns that 'TRIPS-plus' provisions—standards exceeding the WTO's TRIPS Agreement—could negatively impact food security, public health, and access to educational materials. The document argues that SADC nations must develop integrated policy frameworks and institutional capacity to manage IPRs and protect genetic resources and traditional knowledge before entering such negotiations.
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Document type: Research paper
Unlocking Africa's Potential: The Role of Corporate South Africa in Strengthening Africa's Private Sector
The document asserts that sustainable development in Africa is dependent on the growth of the private sector and emphasizes the necessity of public-private partnerships to achieve this goal.
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Document type: Report
Payment and independence: Does a client relationship with government inhibit ‘think-tank’ criticism?
The document examines the relationship between think-tanks and government funding, specifically focusing on the Nigerian context from military rule through the transition to civilian governance. It argues that while government funding can create pressure to moderate criticism, independence is not solely determined by the source of funds but by several intervening variables, including the institution's professional track record and the technical nature of its work. The author also critiques the dynamics of international donor funding, noting that it can sometimes impose external agendas or marginalize local capacity.
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Document type: Research paper
Paiement et indépendance : Est-ce qu’une relation de clientèle avec le gouvernement inhibe la critique des « groupes de réflexion »
The paper examines the relationship between funding sources and the independence of think tanks, specifically in Nigeria. It argues that while government funding is often seen as a constraint on objectivity, the actual impact depends on several intermediate variables such as the institution's professional quality and the technical nature of its work.
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Document type: Research paper
Using Representative Opinion Surveys in the African Peer Review Mechanism Process
The document examines the methodological requirements for conducting representative public opinion surveys to support the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM). It argues that while participatory consultations are useful for public ownership, they often produce biased results. Instead, the author advocates for random probability sampling, noting that relatively small samples (e.g., 1,200 respondents) can provide accurate national estimates. The paper outlines essential prerequisites—such as recent census data and freedom of travel—and warns against the common error of polling only heads of households, which biases results toward older, employed males. It also provides a practical timeline and cost estimate for implementing such surveys in Africa.
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Document type: Research paper
Towards a new ‘Washington consensus’?
The document analyzes the 2008 financial crisis's origins in developed world regulatory failures and macroeconomic imbalances, specifically the US's trade deficits and Asian currency pegs. It evaluates the potential for G20 cooperation on reflating the global economy, reforming financial regulations, and restructuring the IMF. The author argues that while the G20 offers improved legitimacy over the G8, significant hurdles exist due to the US and UK's desire to protect their financial competitive advantages and European resistance to diminishing their influence in multilateral institutions. For South Africa, the brief recommends supporting G20 institutionalization, pushing for a 'floor' of African representation in the IMF, and advocating for Chinese currency appreciation to support industrial exports.
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Document type: Policy brief
Tension between the West and Russia: implications for Africa
The document examines the historical patterns of US and Soviet influence in Africa and contrasts them with a potential modern 'new' Cold War based on the divide between liberal democracies and authoritarian states. It argues that while a multi-polar world could increase the bargaining power of African governments, these states should maintain neutrality to avoid diminishing their economic opportunities by falling into a single sphere of influence.
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Document type: Research paper
South Africa and the United States in a Post-Bush Era
The document analyzes the foreign policy platforms of candidates John McCain and Barack Obama ahead of the 2008 US election, arguing that while Africa will likely remain a low priority for any new administration, South Africa can leverage its role as a 'pivotal state' to secure military resources, trade benefits, and health funding. It highlights diverging candidate views on energy—with Obama favoring a 'cap-and-trade' system and McCain supporting increased nuclear power and Alaskan drilling—and suggests South Africa could engage the US on carbon-trading opportunities.
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Document type: Policy brief
Swaziland: reforms long overdue
The author contends that Swaziland's absolute monarchy, characterized by a lack of accountability for King Mswati III and the banning of political parties, is unable to address the country's critical challenges. These include extreme poverty, where up to 70 percent of the population may live on less than $1 a day, and a devastating HIV epidemic that has reduced average life expectancy to approximately 30 years. The economy is heavily reliant on subsistence agriculture, which is threatened by climate change, and revenue from the Southern African Customs Union. While the monarchy maintains power through traditional loyalty and control over land, growing resentment over royal extravagance and socio-economic hardship is increasing. The document suggests that Swaziland could look to other African nations like Botswana, Ghana, or Lesotho as models for transitioning to a constitutional monarchy to ensure long-term stability.
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Document type: Research paper
South Africa and the General Assembly's 63rd Session
The briefing outlines South Africa's expected contributions to the 63rd UN General Assembly, emphasizing the 'African Agenda', the mid-term review of the Millennium Development Goals, and the promotion of South-South cooperation. It highlights the use of the 2010 FIFA World Cup as a catalyst for the 'African Renaissance' and the role of 'quiet diplomacy' in resolving Zimbabwean political conflict.
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Document type: Briefing
South Africa's current account deficit: are proposed cures worse than the disease?
The author contends that South Africa's current account deficit is sustainable because it is driven by capital inflows and the import of capital and intermediate goods rather than consumption. The paper warns that 'mercantilist' attempts to force a trade surplus through currency devaluation or trade barriers would damage the economy and hurt the poor. Instead, the author advocates for long-term competitiveness through the National Industrial Policy Framework (NIPF) and ASGISA, specifically by addressing low productivity, fostering technological change, and liberalising network industries like electricity and transport to remove structural bottlenecks.
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Document type: Research paper
Media Freedom, Transparency and Governance
The document examines the relationship between media freedom and good governance, specifically focusing on the omissions within the African Union's African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM). It argues that without an independent media to act as a watchdog, democratic governance is impossible. The author highlights the prevalence of 'insult laws' across 48 of 53 African countries as a primary barrier to press freedom and suggests specific revisions to the APRM questionnaire to ensure media independence is assessed. Case studies of South Africa, Ghana, Kenya, and Rwanda illustrate varying levels of media freedom and the tendency of official reports to overlook the media's critical role in accountability.
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Document type: Research paper
Liberté des Médias, Transparence et Gouvernance
The research paper examines the relationship between media freedom and good governance within the context of the African Union's African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM). The author contends that the APRM's failure to mandate free and independent media as a requirement for 'good governance' undermines the mechanism's effectiveness and allows authoritarian regimes to pass assessment tests. The paper analyzes the media landscapes of South Africa, Ghana, Kenya, and Rwanda, noting a general lack of recognition for the media's 'watchdog' role in their national reports. It further highlights the prevalence of 'insult laws' across 48 of 53 African countries, which criminalize criticism of government officials. The document concludes with a proposal to revise the APRM questionnaire to include specific indicators on media freedom, access to information, and the abolition of restrictive press laws.
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Document type: Research paper
Making the News: Why the African Peer Review Mechanism Didn’t
The African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM) failed to spark a national conversation in South Africa due to the government's determination to dominate the process and a systemic failure to engage the media. The author argues that the review process was centralised within the office of Public Service and Administration Minister Geraldine Fraser-Moleketi, which marginalised civil society and led to a Country Self-Assessment Report (CSAR) that reflected government views rather than a broad public consensus. While the Sunday Times provided consistent coverage, it faced hostility from the government when reporting on the findings of the Eminent Persons Panel, which contradicted official narratives on issues like crime and child safety. The paper concludes that for the APRM to be an effective vehicle for policy development, it requires greater transparency, a separation of the Focal Point and National Governing Council (NGC) chair roles, and a responsive media strategy from the APRM Secretariat.
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Document type: Research paper
Pourquoi le MAEP n’a pas fait l’objet d’une telle attention ?
The author argues that the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM) in South Africa missed a critical opportunity for public engagement because the government, specifically through the office of Minister Geraldine Fraser-Moleketi, centralized and dominated the process. This centralization marginalized civil society and the media, leading to a lack of transparency and public interest. The paper highlights the tension between the Sunday Times, which attempted critical coverage of the process, and the government, which reacted defensively to reports on national failures such as crime and child safety. It concludes that for the APRM to be an effective policy tool, governments must adopt a less defensive posture, ensure genuine transparency, and actively engage the media to translate complex reports into public-interest news.
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Document type: Research paper
Is South Africa serious about services liberalisation?
The research paper examines the gap between South Africa's economic capabilities in the services sector and its defensive approach to trade liberalisation. It highlights how inefficiencies in state-dominated network services—specifically telecommunications, banking, energy, and rail transport—hinder international competitiveness. While South Africa has made some multilateral commitments through the WTO and is pursuing regional agreements via SADC, the author argues that these efforts often merely reflect existing regulatory changes rather than a proactive strategy for deeper economic reform.
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Document type: Research paper
Is Africa Changing China?
The document examines how China's 'omni-directional' approach to Africa is being challenged by the realities of the continent. While Western perspectives focus on China's negative impact on African governance via 'no conditions' loans, the author argues that Africa is actually changing China. Specifically, dependencies on energy security and relations with unstable regimes in places like Sudan and Zimbabwe are forcing Beijing to abandon its strict principle of non-intervention in favor of internationally-sanctioned interventions. Furthermore, China's identity as a 'developing country' is becoming unsustainable as it ascends to global economic superpower status, creating tensions between its 'South-South' rhetoric and its actual role as a provider of capital and technology.
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Document type: Research paper
Will Robert Mugabe face trial?
The document analyzes two legal pathways for prosecuting Robert Mugabe: the principle of universal jurisdiction and the International Criminal Court (ICC). While legal grounds exist for crimes committed after July 2002—such as 'Operation Murambatsvina' and election violence—the author concludes that prosecution is 'extremely unlikely' due to political obstacles. These include Zimbabwe's lack of ratification of the ICC statute and the likelihood that immunity from prosecution will be a key negotiation point to secure Mugabe's removal from power.
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Document type: Research paper
What makes for effective anti-corruption systems?
The paper examines the requirements for effective anti-corruption systems, particularly in new democracies and developing countries. It argues against relying solely on a single anti-corruption agency, suggesting instead a matrix of legal and oversight institutions. The author emphasizes that political will and ethical leadership are the most difficult but essential components for success. The text highlights the role of data in targeting resources and the importance of a partnership approach, citing South Africa's National Anti-Corruption Forum as an example, while cautioning that such partnerships must not undermine the ability of civil society to hold the government accountable.
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Document type: Research paper
Utiliser des enquêtes d’opinion représentatives dans le Mécanisme Africain d’Évaluation par les Pairs (MAEP)
The paper examines the methodological requirements for conducting credible representative public opinion surveys within the framework of the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM). It contrasts the limitations of 'participatory' consultations—which often suffer from self-selection bias—with the precision of random probability sampling. The author provides technical guidance on sample sizes, the necessity of accurate census data, and the importance of sampling individual citizens rather than household heads. It also outlines the practical costs and timelines for implementing such surveys in Africa, suggesting that national surveys of 1,200 respondents typically cost between $85,000 and $125,000.
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Document type: Research paper