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Why Zimbabwe Needs a Transitional Government
The briefing argues that Zimbabwe's political crisis, characterized by contested elections and state power abuse, necessitates a transitional government. Unlike a government of national unity, a transitional government acts as a short-term caretaker to draft a new constitution and create an environment for free and fair elections. The author proposes an inclusive body comprising more than just the MDC and Zanu-PF, potentially with Robert Mugabe remaining as president under strict checks and balances, supported by expanded mediation from SADC, the AU, and the UN, as well as international civilian peacekeepers.
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Document type: Briefing
Why Zimbabwe Needs a Transitional Government
The briefing argues that Zimbabwe's political crisis and the contested re-election of Robert Mugabe in June 2008 necessitate a transitional government rather than a government of national unity. It defines a transitional government as a short-term caretaker authority tasked with drafting a new constitution and preparing for legitimate elections. The author proposes a one-year mandate for an inclusive body comprising more than just the MDC and Zanu-PF, supported by expanded mediation from SADC, the AU, and the UN, as well as international civilian peacekeepers.
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Document type: Briefing
The Meaning of Africa Day
The author contends that Africa Day 2008 must move beyond diplomatic celebrations to address systemic governance issues, citing the failure of governments to act on warnings from the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM) and the persistence of long-term dictatorships. The text highlights specific regional instabilities, including post-electoral violence in Kenya and xenophobia in South Africa, while questioning the accountability of the APRM administration and the ability of current leadership to protect the continent from poverty, war, and climate change.
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Document type: Statement
Democracy, elections & political parties
The paper examines the relationship between elections and democracy, arguing that while elections are primary prerequisites for democracy, they are often used in Africa as 'window-dressing rituals' to legitimate existing regimes. It analyzes various electoral systems, the critical role of independent electoral commissions, judiciaries, and militaries, and the functions of international and domestic observation. Additionally, it explores the nature of African political parties, noting their tendency to be ethnically based, personalized, and non-institutionalized.
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Document type: Research paper
Zimbabwe’s Plight, South Africa’s Failure
The author contends that the Mugabe regime's actions in Zimbabwe represent a 'stolen victory' and a challenge to African democratic institutions. The paper criticizes South Africa for underplaying its leverage as a regional power and calls for the SADC to implement concrete sanctions, including arms restrictions and asset freezes, while recognizing that the lack of a lawful run-off may legally entitle the March 29, 2008, frontrunner to the presidency.
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Document type: Research paper
Report on the Roundtable Workshop on Elections and Conflict Management
The workshop examined how elections in Africa often serve as sources of conflict due to poor management, weak institutional frameworks, and the manipulation of state power by ruling parties. Participants discussed the role of regional bodies like ECOWAS and SADC, the limitations of the African Charter on Democracy, Elections and Governance, and the specific failures of Zimbabwe's 2008 elections. The event concluded with recommendations for strengthening the African Union's role in election observation and the need for national constitutional reforms aligned with continental frameworks.
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Document type: Report
South Africa's Tipping Point
The research paper analyzes the May 2008 violence in South African townships, which left approximately 62 people dead and 670 injured. It attributes the unrest to a 'tipping-point' where the effects of a global economic crunch—specifically rising food prices and inflation—collided with high domestic unemployment (approximately 36%) and a lack of coherent immigration and refugee policies. The author highlights the impact of 3 million to 5 million illegal immigrants, largely driven by the crisis in Zimbabwe, and notes that government corruption in the department of home affairs allowed some undocumented migrants to access state grants and housing. The paper concludes that the violence is a warning sign of the blurred lines between internal and external policy, urging the government to address poverty, adopt international best practices for refugees, and stabilize neighboring countries like Zimbabwe.
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Document type: Research paper
Justice and peace in a new Zimbabwe
The paper examines the necessity and design of a Truth, Justice and Reconciliation Commission (TRC) in Zimbabwe to address decades of state-sponsored violence and impunity. It weighs the tensions between retributive and restorative justice, arguing that while political pragmatism may require conditional amnesties to secure a transition, a formal process is essential for victim redress and national healing. The authors provide a framework for a potential commission, covering its mandate, timing, and the complexities of addressing historical violence, including the 1980s gukurahundi campaign.
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Document type: Research paper
Civil Society Participation in Uganda’s APRM Process
The document examines the engagement of Ugandan civil society organisations (CSOs) in the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM), highlighting systemic barriers such as lack of transparency, poor communication, and the limitations of umbrella organisations. It details how Minority Rights Group International and Care International in Uganda overcame these hurdles by forming coalitions to ensure minority rights were included in the Country Self-Assessment Report and the Programme of Action.
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Document type: Research paper
Seminar Report on The Prohibition of Mercenary Activities and Regulation of Certain Activities in Areas of Armed Conflict Act 27 of 2006
The report details a seminar hosted by the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) to evaluate the Prohibition of Mercenary Activities and Regulation of Certain Activities in Areas of Armed Conflict Act 27 of 2006. Experts argued that while the Act aims to curb mercenary activity and align with the South African Constitution, it is overly restrictive, lacks clear definitions for 'humanitarian assistance', and may push the private military and security company (PMSC) industry underground. Discussions highlighted the tension between the Act's punitive approach and the potential utility of PMSCs in peacekeeping and stability operations, as well as the Act's impact on the military profession and its relationship with International Humanitarian Law.
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Document type: Report
Zimbabwe elections: 13 dimensions of unfairness
The report identifies thirteen dimensions of unfairness in Zimbabwe's March 2005 parliamentary elections, concluding they were not free and fair. Despite some improvements following SADC principles, the author highlights critical failures including a weak Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (ZEC), repressive legislation, state control of media, and discrepancies between observer and official vote counts. The document argues that these flaws, alongside a constitution that favours the incumbent, necessitate urgent constitutional reform and the establishment of a truly independent electoral commission to prevent conflict.
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Document type: Report
Erasing the Future: The Tragedy of Africa's Education
The document examines the 'education crisis' in Sub-Saharan Africa, arguing that the narrow focus on the UN Millennium Development Goals' target of universal primary education has compromised teaching quality and diverted funds from secondary and tertiary levels. It highlights critical barriers to progress, including the HIV/AIDS epidemic, severe teacher shortages, outdated colonial curricula, and gender disparities. The report contends that without systemic reforms—including better teacher training, increased investment in science and mathematics, and a shift toward vocational and secondary education—the region will remain economically marginalised and unable to compete globally.
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Document type: Report
Too many holes in the hull: currency auctions and other emergency measures fail to keep Zimbabwe's economy afloat
Zimbabwe's economy is described as 'broken' due to hyperinflation, high unemployment, and a collapse in exports from US$2.2 billion in 2000 to US$1.35 billion in 2003. The crisis is driven by critical foreign currency shortfalls resulting from the collapse of agriculture and the seizure of commercial land without compensation. While the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe introduced foreign-exchange auctions in January 2004 to bridge the gap between official and parallel market rates, the impact is viewed as potentially short-lived due to continued state management of the rates. The country faces a significant loss of human capital and crumbling infrastructure, with exporters struggling against rising operating costs and requirements to pay utilities in US dollars.
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Document type: Research paper
The nexus between migration and human security
The paper examines the nexus between migration and human security, focusing on the vulnerabilities of undocumented Zimbabweans in South Africa. It identifies push factors in Zimbabwe, such as economic collapse and political repression, and pull factors in South Africa, including economic prosperity. The author argues that the lack of legal documentation renders migrants susceptible to employment exploitation, inadequate shelter, and physical abuse in detention centres. The document also discusses the SADC Protocol on the Facilitation of Movement of Persons as a potential mechanism to reduce illegal migration and improve human security, while noting institutional failures in both Zimbabwe and South Africa that perpetuate the current crisis.
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Document type: Research paper
Measuring the Unimportance of Being Earnest
The paper argues that foreign direct investment in Africa is often driven by natural resources rather than good governance or low corruption. While countries with poor governance rankings often attract significant FDI, the author contends that sound governance is necessary for long-term resource management and sustainable economic growth.
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Document type: Research paper
NEPAD should re-design Africa’s economy
The author contends that sub-Saharan Africa's underdevelopment stems from the mismanagement of economic surpluses by political elites who exploited their power to maintain high living standards and fund failing industrial projects. Comparing the divergent paths of Ghana and South Korea since 1965, the text argues that current frameworks like Nepad fail to address the power imbalance between elites and producers. To achieve development, the author proposes introducing freehold land ownership for peasants, granting producers direct access to world markets for cash crops, and establishing independent financial and technical institutions supported by foreign donors.
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Document type: Research paper
A deed changes hands and a farm still thrives
The document analyzes South Africa's land reform efforts, focusing on redistribution, restitution, and tenure reform. It highlights the Mataffin Farm in Nelspruit as a successful model where white owners and black claimants collaborated to ensure agricultural productivity during the transfer. However, it contrasts this with broader systemic failures, including slow implementation, budget constraints, and violent rural conflict. The text discusses the tension between the government's goal to transfer 30% of white-owned land by 2015 and the reality of only 3% being transferred. It also addresses fears that South Africa might mirror Zimbabwe's economic collapse due to land grabs, while emphasizing that post-settlement support and managerial training are critical to preventing agricultural failure.
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Document type: Case study
A Year of Checks on Ballots
The report analyzes the 2008 election cycles in various African countries, noting a general trend where incumbents face little threat from fragmented oppositions, though significant leadership transitions are occurring in Namibia, Mozambique, and Malawi. It details specific national contexts, such as the ANC's dominant position in South Africa, the adherence to term limits in Botswana and Malawi, and the competitive outlook in Mozambique following President Joaquim Chissano's retirement. Key voter concerns across the region include poverty, unemployment, HIV/AIDS, and land reform.
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Document type: Report
SADC nails flag to polls
The document analyzes the SADC Principles and Guidelines Governing Democratic Elections, noting that while it establishes a regional commitment to standards such as judicial independence and media access, it contains loopholes regarding observer deployment and the acceptance of results. It highlights Zimbabwe as a critical test case where previous elections were marred by violence and irregularities, and expresses skepticism about the credibility of upcoming polls given the current political climate.
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Document type: Research paper
It's good to be the king
The research paper analyzes the persistence of one-party dominance in Africa, noting that ruling parties leverage state resources, security forces, and 'struggle credentials' to maintain control. It contrasts this with opposition parties that are often fractious, resource-poor, and centered on individual ambition. While citing the 2002 Kenyan election as an example of incumbent vulnerability, the author argues that genuine pluralism requires stronger civic responsibility and organized, broad-based support from civil society.
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Document type: Research paper