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The document examines how Poland's high-carbon, energy-intensive economy leads to higher power and gas prices for businesses compared to the EU average, as well as significant costs from the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS). It posits that transitioning to renewables and improving energy efficiency can lower production costs, stabilize energy prices through Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs), and increase GDP. The briefing highlights that achieving net-zero emissions could add 0.2% to Poland's annual GDP through 2050. It also discusses the role of emissions transparency and the growth of the service sector as additional avenues for competitive differentiation.

The document examines how Poland's high energy intensity and reliance on fossil fuels create economic vulnerabilities, specifically through high electricity and gas prices and EU ETS costs. It posits that transitioning to low-emission technologies and improving energy efficiency can lower production costs and boost GDP. The briefing highlights the role of renewable energy, such as wind and solar, and Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) in stabilizing energy prices. It also discusses the importance of emission transparency for consumer appeal and provides case studies of Polish companies like ORLEN, Galmet, and Kompania Piwowarska implementing decarbonization strategies.

Climate change has significantly increased the number of winter days above freezing in Poland, with the country ranking fifth globally for the most lost chilled winter days. Between 2014 and 2023, Poland experienced nearly three additional weeks of days above freezing annually, with all 13 analyzed cities seeing at least two additional weeks per year.

The rapid closure of coal mines in Wałbrzych, Poland, in the mid-1990s led to severe unemployment and poverty due to a lack of proactive transition planning. While long-term diversification efforts like the INVEST-PARK special economic zone eventually created thousands of jobs, they failed to provide immediate relief or targeted support for displaced miners. Current efforts focus on green urban infrastructure and energy efficiency funded by the European Investment Bank and the EU Just Transition Fund.

The report analyzes the necessity of transitioning Poland's coal-dependent energy system to meet global climate goals. It compares a 'baseline' business-as-usual scenario with a '<2°C-consistent' scenario, the latter requiring a 67% reduction in per capita CO2 emissions by 2050. The analysis highlights that while the power sector must shift toward renewables and nuclear energy, the transition's social viability depends on managing the decline of the mining sector—particularly in the Śląskie region—through natural attrition, retraining, and conditional financial support to avoid the social exclusion seen in previous regional closures.