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Examining wood-energy systems with integrated assessment and landscape models
This research paper examines the potential for combining Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) with geo-spatial landscape models to better understand the interactions between energy, economy, and land use in regions heavily dependent on woodfuels, specifically focusing on a case study in Kenya.
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Document type: Research paper
Modeling Pessimism: Does Climate Stabilization Require a Failure of Development?
This research paper examines how assumptions regarding income growth in low-income countries within climate-economics models affect global emissions reduction goals, arguing that underestimating the development potential of the poorest nations leads to weaker mitigation targets.
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Document type: Research paper
Reason, Empathy, and Fair Play: the Climate Policy Gap
This research paper by the Stockholm Environment Institute uses the Climate and Regional Economics of Development (CRED) model to analyze the gap between current climate-economic policy recommendations and the emission reductions required to limit global warming to 2°C. The authors argue that conventional models, such as DICE, often underestimate climate damages and ignore international equity and the needs of future generations. By incorporating updated science, lower discount rates, and cross-regional investments from rich to poor countries, the CRED Optimal scenario demonstrates that it is possible to achieve a high probability of staying below 2°C while simultaneously reducing global income inequality.
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Document type: Research paper
Epstein-Zin utility in DICE: Is risk aversion irrelevant to climate policy?
This research paper introduces a hybrid "EZ-DICE" model that implements Epstein-Zin recursive utility into the Dynamic Integrated Climate-Economy (DICE) model. The authors aim to separate risk aversion from time preference, a conflation present in standard expected-utility frameworks that often leads to a perverse relationship where higher risk aversion implies less concern for future outcomes.
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Document type: Research paper
CRED: A New Model of Climate and Development
This research paper introduces the Climate and Regional Economics of Development (CRED) model, an integrated assessment model (IAM) designed to analyze the intersection of climate mitigation and international economic development. The model's primary innovations include a focus on global equity through a concave utility function and the use of McKinsey marginal abatement cost curves to project mitigation costs. The authors argue that achieving climate stabilization requires either a very low discount rate or significant capital transfers from high-income to developing nations.
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Document type: Research paper
Did the Stern Review underestimate U.S. and global climate damages?
This research paper by the Stockholm Environment Institute evaluates whether the Stern Review underestimated climate damages for the United States and the world. By revising parameters in the PAGE2002 model—specifically regarding adaptation, catastrophic risk, and the damage function—the authors argue that business-as-usual damages in 2100 could be significantly higher than the Stern Review's estimates, rising from 2.2 percent of global GDP to 10.8 percent.
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Document type: Research paper
sei-e3-2012-climatepolicydevelopment-9a40ee85e99dd711.pdf
This research paper uses the Climate and Regional Economics of Development (CRED) model to analyze the relationship between climate policy and development assistance. The authors find that while climate and development choices are nearly independent under extreme assumptions of climate risk, development assistance becomes a decisive factor for global climate stabilization under intermediate risk assumptions.
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Document type: Research paper
SCC white paper 4_1_2010 SEI
This white paper by the Stockholm Environment Institute critiques the U.S. government's use of the 'social cost of carbon' (SCC) to guide climate regulations. The authors argue that the administration's 'central' estimate of $21 per ton of CO2 is dangerously low due to a reliance on flawed economic models, inappropriately high discount rates, and the omission of catastrophic climate risks. They advocate for a shift toward science-based targets and cost-effectiveness analysis rather than narrow cost-benefit calculations.
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Document type: Report