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This research paper examines the risk of stranded assets in Africa's extractives sectors as the global economy transitions toward low-carbon energy and a circular economy. It analyzes the economic threats to fossil-fuel-dependent nations, the potential for 'premature deindustrialisation', and the opportunities presented by the rising demand for critical minerals. The author argues for a 'just transition' that prioritizes social and developmental goals through economic diversification and improved governance to avoid the 'resource curse'.

This fact sheet summarizes the results of a participatory workshop held in August 2023 in Barrancabermeja, Colombia. The initiative, led by Transforma, aimed to analyze the perspectives of local actors regarding the hydrocarbon value chain and identify the challenges and opportunities associated with a Just Energy Transition in a region heavily dependent on the oil industry.

This policy brief analyzes the economic dependence of Paipa, Colombia, on coal mining and coal-fired power generation. It evaluates the risks posed by the energy transition and proposes a productive reconversion strategy focused on tourism, traditional manufactures, and the agricultural sector to diversify the local economy.

This policy brief by Transforma analyzes the economic dependence of Barrancabermeja, Colombia, on the hydrocarbon sector, specifically the Ecopetrol refinery. Using an input-output model, the document evaluates the risks of the energy transition and proposes a diversification strategy focusing on agro-industry, bio-energy from oil palm, and ecotourism to avoid a structural crisis after 2035.

This research paper examines the economic and social risks facing middle-income developing countries as they transition away from oil and gas production, emphasizing the need for place-based economic diversification and just transition strategies to protect workers and government revenues.