Super Typhoon Mangkhut heading for the Philippines

The World Weather Attribution (WWA) consortium investigated the possibility of analyzing the effect of climate change on Super Typhoon Mangkhut's rainfall but determined an analysis was not feasible. The decision was based on three primary constraints: the availability of only one high-resolution model for the region, poor quality of public observational data in the affected area (with 50% missing data in most stations), and a lack of manpower and stable funding. The document notes that while greenhouse gases are expected to increase the precipitation of the strongest storms globally, region-specific projections have low confidence. Additionally, the WWA stated that while sea level rise affects storm surges, such impacts are not currently part of their attribution assessments.

• The WWA consortium identified three barriers to conducting a Mangkhut-specific analysis: a lack of multiple high-resolution model ensembles, poor quality of public observational data in the region, and insufficient manpower due to a lack of stable funding.
• Global expectations suggest that while the total number of tropical cyclones may decrease or remain unchanged due to greenhouse gases, the precipitation and maximum wind speed of the strongest storms are expected to increase.
• The WWA does not currently include the effects of sea level rise on storm surges in its attribution assessments, despite such surges being expected during Super Typhoon Mangkhut.

APA

World Weather Attribution (2018). Super Typhoon Mangkhut heading for the Philippines. https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/super-typhoon-mangkhut-heading-for-the-philipines/

Chicago

World Weather Attribution. Super Typhoon Mangkhut heading for the Philippines. 2018. https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/super-typhoon-mangkhut-heading-for-the-philipines/.

Wikipedia

{{cite press release |author=World Weather Attribution |title=Super Typhoon Mangkhut heading for the Philippines |date=14 September 2018 |url=https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/super-typhoon-mangkhut-heading-for-the-philipines/ |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@misc{worldweatherattribution2018super, author = {{World Weather Attribution}}, title = {{Super Typhoon Mangkhut heading for the Philippines}}, publisher = {World Weather Attribution}, year = {2018}, month = sep, url = {https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/super-typhoon-mangkhut-heading-for-the-philipines/}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }