Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040

This document is the 'Purpose and Scope' section of a special report titled 'Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040'. It outlines the use of the International Futures modelling platform to analyze Algeria's current development state and project its trajectory to 2040, contrasting a 'Current Path' forecast with a positive 'Algerian Dream' scenario characterized by democratic governance and prosperity.

• The report identifies governance issues and the resulting economic policy framework as the primary drivers of most of the challenges facing Algeria.
• The analysis utilizes the International Futures modelling platform to project Algeria's development to 2040, comparing a 'Current Path' forecast against a 'Algerian Dream (Rêve algérien)' scenario, which envisions a prosperous, equitable pathway under a democratic and legitimate government.
• For comparative analysis, the report uses World Bank 2020-2021 classifications, which categorize Algeria as one of 22 lower middle-income economies in Africa.

APA

Cilliers, J., & Kwasi, S. (2026). Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/algeria&topic=02-purpose-and-scope

Chicago

Cilliers, Jakkie, and Stellah Kwasi. Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/algeria&topic=02-purpose-and-scope.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Cilliers |first1=Jakkie |last2=Kwasi |first2=Stellah |title=Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040 |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/algeria&topic=02-purpose-and-scope |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{cilliers2026stagnation, author = {Cilliers, Jakkie and Kwasi, Stellah}, title = {{Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/algeria&topic=02-purpose-and-scope}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }