GESTIÓN DE RIESGOS CLIMÁTICOS PARA LA AGRICULTURA DE PEQUEÑA ESCALA EN HONDURAS
Summary
The report identifies Honduras as highly vulnerable to climate risks, particularly in its small-scale agricultural sector, which is critical for food security and employment. It details current threats such as droughts, hurricanes, and floods, and projects a hotter, drier future that could significantly reduce maize and bean yields. The document evaluates the country's existing disaster risk and climate adaptation frameworks, noting a lack of integration between the two and significant gaps in meteorological data. It recommends a combination of local technical measures—such as improved water management, soil conservation, and crop diversification—and governance reforms to incorporate climate risk into national agricultural policies.
Key insights
- Honduras is exceptionally vulnerable to climate-induced disasters; between 1990 and 2009, it was the third most affected country globally by extreme weather, with annual economic losses averaging 3% of its GDP.
- Small-scale agriculture is highly sensitive to climate variability due to high rates of land degradation—with approximately 40% of lands degraded—and a heavy reliance on rain-fed systems.
- Climate projections for Honduras indicate a trend toward hotter and drier conditions, with temperature increases of 0.5°C to 1°C and annual precipitation decreases of 3% to 10% expected by 2025.
- Future climate change is projected to significantly reduce yields of staple crops; by 2050, average maize yields are expected to decrease by 12% and bean yields by 32% compared to 2000 levels.
- The implementation of irrigation can substantially mitigate climate-driven yield losses, potentially increasing maize yields by 44% in 2025 and 27% in 2050 compared to rain-fed crops in 2000.
- Honduras faces critical gaps in climate information, including fragmented historical meteorological data, a lack of continuous data series, and insufficient early warning systems.
- While Honduras has established institutions for disaster risk (COPECO) and climate change (SERNA), there is a lack of rigorous integration between disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation.
- National policy documents like the 'Visión del País 2010-2038' recognize climate risk, but these concerns are not sufficiently integrated into key sector policies such as the 'Estrategia del Sector Público Agroalimentario'.
- Small farmers employ various coping strategies, such as crop diversification and seed banks, but many are unsustainable in the long term, such as temporary migration or deforestation to expand agricultural land.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Keller, M. (2013). GESTIÓN DE RIESGOS CLIMÁTICOS PARA LA AGRICULTURA DE PEQUEÑA ESCALA EN HONDURAS. International Institute for Sustainable Development. https://www.iisd.org/system/files/publications/crm_honduras_es.pdf
- Chicago
- Keller, Marius. GESTIÓN DE RIESGOS CLIMÁTICOS PARA LA AGRICULTURA DE PEQUEÑA ESCALA EN HONDURAS. International Institute for Sustainable Development, 2013. https://www.iisd.org/system/files/publications/crm_honduras_es.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |last1=Keller |first1=Marius |title=GESTIÓN DE RIESGOS CLIMÁTICOS PARA LA AGRICULTURA DE PEQUEÑA ESCALA EN HONDURAS |publisher=International Institute for Sustainable Development |date=January 2013 |url=https://www.iisd.org/system/files/publications/crm_honduras_es.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{keller2013gestin, author = {Keller, Marius}, title = {{GESTIÓN DE RIESGOS CLIMÁTICOS PARA LA AGRICULTURA DE PEQUEÑA ESCALA EN HONDURAS}}, institution = {International Institute for Sustainable Development}, year = {2013}, month = jan, url = {https://www.iisd.org/system/files/publications/crm_honduras_es.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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