Tropical cyclones: current characteristics and potential changes under a warmer climate

The project investigates tropical cyclone dynamics in the Eastern Pacific, emphasizing the role of atmospheric circulations and external factors like warm dry air from the US in track prediction. Initial results include the creation of a historical database of cyclones hitting Mexican Pacific States and the training of over 100 students. The project concludes that regional-level climate studies and data collection must be expanded to accurately assess regional risks.

• Atmospheric circulations are significant determinants of storm tracks and rainfall in the region, while cyclone intensity is governed by the interaction of mass and energy budgets in the atmosphere and ocean.
• Analysis of three tropical cyclones that hit northwestern Mexico indicates that track prediction in the Eastern Pacific requires a better understanding of external factors, specifically the inflow of warm dry air from the western United States.
• The project has established a historical record database using government reports and newspaper articles to document past cyclones that made landfall in the Mexican Pacific States.
• There is a need to expand data collection and regional-level climate studies to achieve accurate assessments of regional risks.
• The project has provided training on the theory and practice of tropical cyclone identification and evolution to more than 100 students.

APA

de Raga, G. B., Zavala-Hidalgo, J., Molina, L. F., Sesma, J. S., Orzo, R. P., Montante, S., Raymond, D., Martínez, D., Mitrani, I., Lizano, O., Pozo, D., Centeno, R. R., Marin, J., Oropeza, F., & Cisneros, J. (2010). Tropical cyclones: current characteristics and potential changes under a warmer climate. Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research. https://iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/uploads/2014/03/CRN2_48.pdf

Chicago

de Raga, Graciela Binimelis, Jorge Zavala-Hidalgo, Luis Farfan Molina, Jorge Sanchez Sesma, Ricardo Prieto Orzo, Sanchez Montante, David Raymond, et al. Tropical cyclones: current characteristics and potential changes under a warmer climate. Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research, 2010. https://iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/uploads/2014/03/CRN2_48.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=de Raga |first1=Graciela Binimelis |last2=Zavala-Hidalgo |first2=Jorge |last3=Molina |first3=Luis Farfan |last4=Sesma |first4=Jorge Sanchez |last5=Orzo |first5=Ricardo Prieto |last6=Montante |first6=Sanchez |last7=Raymond |first7=David |last8=Martínez |first8=Daniel |last9=Mitrani |first9=Ida |display-authors=etal |title=Tropical cyclones: current characteristics and potential changes under a warmer climate |publisher=Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research |date=February 2010 |url=https://iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/uploads/2014/03/CRN2_48.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{deraga2010tropical, author = {de Raga, Graciela Binimelis and Zavala-Hidalgo, Jorge and Molina, Luis Farfan and Sesma, Jorge Sanchez and Orzo, Ricardo Prieto and Montante, Sanchez and Raymond, David and Martínez, Daniel and Mitrani, Ida and Lizano, Omar and Pozo, Diana and Centeno, Rosario Romero and Marin, Julio and Oropeza, Fernando and Cisneros, Jorge}, title = {{Tropical cyclones: current characteristics and potential changes under a warmer climate}}, institution = {Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research}, year = {2010}, month = feb, url = {https://iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/uploads/2014/03/CRN2_48.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }