CRESCIMENTO ECONÔMICO MAIS SUSTENTÁVEL PARA O BRASIL

This executive summary argues that Brazil can achieve its Paris Agreement emission reduction targets (37% by 2025 and 43% by 2030) while stimulating economic growth. By focusing on land use (doubling agricultural production via productivity gains), energy (reducing costs through renewables and industrial efficiency), and transport (reducing road dependency and improving urban mobility), the report claims that the returns on climate-friendly investments will outweigh the expenses.

• Brazil committed to reducing greenhouse gas emissions by at least 37% by 2025 and 43% by 2030 under the Paris Agreement. The document asserts that economic growth and climate commitments are compatible across three critical sectors: land use, energy, and transport.
• In the land use sector, Brazil has the potential to double its agricultural production without further deforestation by converting degraded pastures into agricultural land and increasing productivity. The implementation of the Forest Code is highlighted as a tool that encourages land intensification over the opening of new forest areas.
• The energy sector's transition toward more renewables and energy efficiency is projected to be more cost-effective than maintaining the current trajectory. Investments required to meet NDC goals by 2030 are estimated to be approximately 10% lower than a non-NDC scenario, and investments to achieve full decarbonization are estimated to be 18% lower than the non-NDC scenario.
• Brazil's energy matrix faces risks due to a centralized hydrothermal system that relies on thermoelectric plants during droughts, which increases both costs and emissions. The report recommends expanding alternative renewables (solar, wind, biomass) and improving energy efficiency, particularly in the industrial sector, which is the primary energy consumer.
• The transport sector is heavily dependent on roads, which account for 92% of the sector's total emissions. The report identifies significant economic opportunities in improving infrastructure for freight and urban mobility. For freight, investment costs for new infrastructure are estimated at nearly 2% of 2017 GDP, with annual financial benefits of 0.8% of GDP, meaning costs would be offset in three years.
• Regarding urban mobility, the BNDES estimated the cost of addressing infrastructure at R$ 234 billion (4.8% of 2014 GDP), recommending an annual investment of 0.4% of GDP over 12 years. This investment is noted to be only 20% of the annual costs citizens lose due to travel time.
• The report suggests that increasing the mandatory addition of biofuels in fossil fuels could significantly impact NDC goals, noting that 61.7% of light vehicles in Brazil use flex-fuel engines.

APA

ANTONACCIO, L., ASSUNÇÃO, J., CELIDONIO, M., CHIAVARI, J., LOPES, C. L., & SCHUTZE, A. (2018). CRESCIMENTO ECONÔMICO MAIS SUSTENTÁVEL PARA O BRASIL. Climate Policy Initiative. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BID-Executive-Summary-PT-A4-print-version-21Mar2019-1.pdf

Chicago

ANTONACCIO, LUIZA, JULIANO ASSUNÇÃO, MAÍNA CELIDONIO, JOANA CHIAVARI, CRISTINA LEME LOPES, and AMANDA SCHUTZE. CRESCIMENTO ECONÔMICO MAIS SUSTENTÁVEL PARA O BRASIL. Climate Policy Initiative, 2018. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BID-Executive-Summary-PT-A4-print-version-21Mar2019-1.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=ANTONACCIO |first1=LUIZA |last2=ASSUNÇÃO |first2=JULIANO |last3=CELIDONIO |first3=MAÍNA |last4=CHIAVARI |first4=JOANA |last5=LOPES |first5=CRISTINA LEME |last6=SCHUTZE |first6=AMANDA |title=CRESCIMENTO ECONÔMICO MAIS SUSTENTÁVEL PARA O BRASIL |publisher=Climate Policy Initiative |date=November 2018 |url=https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BID-Executive-Summary-PT-A4-print-version-21Mar2019-1.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{antonaccio2018crescimento, author = {ANTONACCIO, LUIZA and ASSUNÇÃO, JULIANO and CELIDONIO, MAÍNA and CHIAVARI, JOANA and LOPES, CRISTINA LEME and SCHUTZE, AMANDA}, title = {{CRESCIMENTO ECONÔMICO MAIS SUSTENTÁVEL PARA O BRASIL}}, institution = {Climate Policy Initiative}, year = {2018}, month = nov, url = {https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BID-Executive-Summary-PT-A4-print-version-21Mar2019-1.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }