Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda Briefing Note

The document examines the intersection of climate change, population growth, and malaria in Uganda's Tororo and Kabale districts. It projects that the economic costs of malaria in these areas could more than double by 2050, driven by rising temperatures and increased population exposure. The study emphasizes the need for district-specific adaptation strategies, such as Long Lasting Insecticide Nets (LLINs) and Indoor Residential Spraying (IRS), and calls for improved climate-malaria research and cross-ministerial collaboration to maximize health co-benefits.

• The economic costs associated with malaria in the Tororo and Kabale districts are projected to more than double by 2050, driven by both predicted climate changes and population increase.
• In Tororo, the annual economic cost of malaria is projected to rise from a 2010 range of US$8.7-221 million to a range of US$20.1-560.5 million by 2050.
• In Kabale, the annual economic cost of malaria is projected to increase from a 2010 range of US$0.7-15.8 million to a range of US$1.55-41.7 million by 2050.
• Climate projections for 2095 under RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios indicate temperature increases of 1.5 to 3.5°C in Tororo and 3.0 to 4.5°C in Kabale, though average annual rainfall is not predicted to increase in either district.
• Adaptation measures such as Long Lasting Insecticide Nets (LLINs) and Indoor Residential Spraying (IRS) show high benefit-to-cost ratios when targeted, but in low-prevalence areas like Kabale, a strategy of surveillance and swift response may be more appropriate.

APA

Climate and Development Knowledge Network (n.d.). Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda Briefing Note. https://cdkn.org/sites/default/files/files/Uganda_CC-economics_HEALTH_case-study_Briefing-Note.pdf

Chicago

Climate and Development Knowledge Network. Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda Briefing Note. n.d. https://cdkn.org/sites/default/files/files/Uganda_CC-economics_HEALTH_case-study_Briefing-Note.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Climate and Development Knowledge Network |title=Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda Briefing Note |url=https://cdkn.org/sites/default/files/files/Uganda_CC-economics_HEALTH_case-study_Briefing-Note.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{climateanddevelopmentknowledgenetworkndeconomic, author = {{Climate and Development Knowledge Network}}, title = {{Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda Briefing Note}}, institution = {Climate and Development Knowledge Network}, url = {https://cdkn.org/sites/default/files/files/Uganda_CC-economics_HEALTH_case-study_Briefing-Note.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }