Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda Briefing Note

This briefing note assesses the economic impacts of climate change on malaria prevalence in the Tororo and Kabale districts of Uganda, projecting significant cost increases by 2050 due to rising temperatures and population growth.

• Malaria is endemic in 95% of Uganda and is identified as the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the country. The study indicates that climate change, specifically increasing temperatures, is likely to increase the existing burden of malaria.
• The economic costs associated with malaria in the districts of Tororo and Kabale could more than double by 2050. In Tororo, annual costs may rise from a 2010 range of $8.7-$221 million to $20.1-$560.5 million in 2050. In Kabale, annual costs may increase from $0.7-$15.8 million in 2010 to $1.55-$41.7 million in 2050.
• Climate projections by 2095 under RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios suggest temperature increases of 1.5 to 3.5°C in Tororo and 3.0 to 4.5°C in Kabale. No increase in average annual rainfall is predicted for either district, though there are indications of more days with small amounts of rainfall and fewer days with heavy rainfall.
• Effective short-term adaptation options include Long Lasting Insecticide Nets (LLINs), Indoor Residential Spraying (IRS), clearing breeding sites, and proper treatment. While LLINs and IRS have high benefit-to-cost ratios when targeted, the study suggests that in areas with lower prevalence, such as Kabale, a strategy of surveillance and swift response to outbreaks may be more appropriate.

APA

Climate and Development Knowledge Network (n.d.). Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda Briefing Note. https://cdkn.org/sites/default/files/files/Uganda_CC-economics_HEALTH_case-study_Briefing-Note.pdf

Chicago

Climate and Development Knowledge Network. Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda Briefing Note. n.d. https://cdkn.org/sites/default/files/files/Uganda_CC-economics_HEALTH_case-study_Briefing-Note.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Climate and Development Knowledge Network |title=Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda Briefing Note |url=https://cdkn.org/sites/default/files/files/Uganda_CC-economics_HEALTH_case-study_Briefing-Note.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{climateanddevelopmentknowledgenetworkndeconomic, author = {{Climate and Development Knowledge Network}}, title = {{Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda Briefing Note}}, institution = {Climate and Development Knowledge Network}, url = {https://cdkn.org/sites/default/files/files/Uganda_CC-economics_HEALTH_case-study_Briefing-Note.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }