Modelling Mozambique's low-emissions future

The document details a project supporting Mozambique in modelling low-emissions scenarios using the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) and the REDD Abacus model. Focusing on agriculture and energy, the project found that switching to solar-powered irrigation and agroforestry could significantly reduce emissions. These integrated scenarios were used to inform the country's next NDC. The project also emphasized national capacity building and peer learning through the Africa LEDS project, sharing findings with other nations like Ghana.

• Modelling using the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) indicated that replacing fuel-powered irrigation with solar-powered systems would reduce annual emissions from 14,735 tonnes of CO2 equivalent (tCO2-eq) to 11,092 tCO2-eq by 2030.
• The REDD Abacus model showed that replacing traditional slash-and-burn agriculture for cassava and maize with an agroforestry approach would reduce annual emissions from 5.8 million tCO2-eq to 1.8 million tCO2-eq.
• Combined analysis of the energy and agriculture sectors suggests a potential 54% reduction in emissions across both, with agroforestry specifically offering the potential for job creation and higher profits for farmers compared to other tested scenarios.
• The modelling results and integrated scenarios were incorporated into the proposal and action plan for Mozambique's next Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC).

APA

Sitoe, A., Cox, S., & Woods, T. (n.d.). Modelling Mozambique's low-emissions future. Climate and Development Knowledge Network. https://cdkn.org/story/mozambique

Chicago

Sitoe, Almeida, Sadie Cox, and Tim Woods. Modelling Mozambique's low-emissions future. Climate and Development Knowledge Network, n.d. https://cdkn.org/story/mozambique.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Sitoe |first1=Almeida |last2=Cox |first2=Sadie |last3=Woods |first3=Tim |title=Modelling Mozambique's low-emissions future |publisher=Climate and Development Knowledge Network |url=https://cdkn.org/story/mozambique |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{sitoendmodelling, author = {Sitoe, Almeida and Cox, Sadie and Woods, Tim}, title = {{Modelling Mozambique's low-emissions future}}, institution = {Climate and Development Knowledge Network}, url = {https://cdkn.org/story/mozambique}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }