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Summary and key findings insummary:"conflict of interest"
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PublisherSouth African Institute of International Affairs
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2,011 documents from South African Institute of International Affairs

  • The report examines services trade in the SADC region, focusing on core infrastructure (transport, energy, telecommunications, and finance), tourism, and the movement of natural persons (Mode 4). It argues that inadequacies in these services constrain economic growth and international competitiveness. While regional cooperation exists through various protocols, the report finds that actual liberalisation is slow, often hampered by state monopolies, inadequate regulatory frameworks, and restrictive immigration policies. It recommends increasing private sector participation, harmonising regional policies, and ratifying the Protocol on the Facilitation of the Movement of Persons to enhance regional integration and economic development.

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  • The report details South Africa's (SA) strategic approach to WTO agricultural negotiations, focusing on the three pillars of market access, domestic support, and export competition. It examines the domestic consultation processes involving stakeholders like Agri SA and NEDLAC, and analyzes SA's role within international coalitions including the G20, the Cairns Group, and the African Group. The document highlights SA's preference for the elimination of export subsidies, substantial reductions in trade-distorting domestic support in developed countries, and a move away from long-term preference regimes toward broad-based market liberalization.

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  • This 2006 report by the South African Institute of International Affairs examines the economic relationships between India, Brazil, and South Africa. Based on interviews with 30 South African companies and government officials, it identifies significant non-tariff barriers, high business costs, and a lack of awareness among the private sector regarding the IBSA initiative. While it notes growth in bilateral trade—such as the 2004 SACU-Mercosur preferential trade agreement—it highlights that many South African firms perceive IBSA as a political rather than an economic project. The report recommends reducing customs duties, improving infrastructure, and involving the business sector more deeply in the formulation of trade agreements.

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  • The report assesses the potential for aerospace co-operation between India, Brazil, and South Africa (IBSA). It details South Africa's aerospace and defence capabilities, the government's Aerospace Industry Support Initiative (AISI), and the role of industrial participation policies in integrating firms like Aerosud and Denel into global supply chains. While identifying three key areas for IBSA collaboration—expanding supply chains, strategic defence systems, and small satellites—the report highlights significant barriers, most notably corruption allegations against Denel by the Indian government and the challenge of balancing South-South co-operation with existing partnerships with 'first-tier' global contractors.

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  • The report examines South Africa's role as an economic hegemon in Southern Africa, analyzing how its global trade agenda and corporate expansion affect SADC integration. It finds that while South African FDI often provides developmental benefits like job creation and infrastructure, the country's pursuit of bilateral free trade agreements (FTAs) with non-SADC partners may undermine regional producers. Quantitative analysis suggests that SADC trade liberalization has led to significant trade diversion, where imports from SADC partners replace more efficient global sources, resulting in a net welfare loss for South African consumers. The report also highlights restrictive rules of origin and infrastructure deficits as major barriers to meaningful regional trade expansion.

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  • The paper contrasts the Economic Community of West African States' (ECOWAS) successful intervention against a military-backed dynastic succession in Togo with the Southern African Development Community's (SADC) 'hands-off approach' to political suppression and electoral irregularities in Zimbabwe.

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    Regions: TogoZimbabwe
  • The document discusses how the negotiation of Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs) with the EU has highlighted Southern Africa's struggles with political and economic integration, specifically the issue of overlapping memberships in various regional organisations. It notes a divide in opinion on whether the EU should wait for the region to resolve these internal integration issues or if the EPA process itself is acting as a catalyst for finding solutions.

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    Themes: trade policy
  • The report examines the relationship between leadership, governance, and capacity building, specifically focusing on how skills and expertise contribute to the adoption of effective development policies and how policy continuity can be maintained during leadership transitions.

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    Regions: Africa
  • The document examines the 'aid for trade' framework, focusing on the WTO Task Force's recommendations and the African Group's position. It argues that aid for trade should complement, not replace, market access gains from the Doha Development Agenda. The paper details the roles of the World Bank, IMF, and the Integrated Framework for LDCs, while also analyzing regional trade agreements like the EU's Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs) and the US-SACU FTA. It recommends that African nations establish national and regional coordination committees to align aid with national development strategies and the Paris Declaration on Aid Effectiveness.

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  • The report assesses the potential for aerospace collaboration between India, Brazil, and South Africa, noting that while there is high political interest and complementary capabilities, actual collaboration is currently minimal. It highlights South Africa's strategic shift toward becoming a preferred supplier of subsystems to global contractors, exemplified by its role in the Airbus A400M programme. Key opportunities for IBSA co-operation include expanding supply chains for regional aircraft, collaborating on strategic defence systems, and developing small and micro satellites. However, the report identifies significant barriers, most notably corruption allegations involving Denel and the Indian government, as well as the challenge of balancing South-South co-operation with existing partnerships with 'first-tier' Northern contractors.

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  • The document examines the dynamics of trade between China and the Southern African Customs Union (SACU), noting that while South African exports of resources are booming, the region faces significant job losses in labour-intensive light industries like apparel and footwear due to Chinese competition. It discusses the tension between the welfare gains of cheaper imports for the poor and the political pressure from trade unions and business to protect domestic industry. The text suggests that SACU is likely to pursue a narrow, symbolic preferential agreement similar to its deals with Mercosur and India, although some participants argue that a comprehensive FTA would better force necessary economic adjustments and improve long-term productivity.

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  • The document examines the proposed preferential trade agreement (PTA) between the Southern African Customs Union (SACU) and India, intended for conclusion by the end of 2006. It details the economic rationale, including the desire to reduce protectionist barriers and expand South-South trade, and outlines the likely negotiating positions of both parties. Key areas of interest include India's offensive push in IT services and textiles, and SACU's interests in financial services and automotive exports. The briefing also identifies challenges such as the 'perception gap' between business sectors, the need for coordination within the IBSA framework, and the risk that bilateral deals may detract from multilateral WTO goals.

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  • The author contends that quota agreements between China and major economies like the EU, US, and South Africa are 'naive and wrong' because they attempt to recreate the distorted market conditions of the expired Agreement on Textiles and Clothing (ATC). The text argues that the surge in Chinese exports is a market correction rather than unfair trade, and that protectionist measures only increase consumer costs and delay industrial adaptation. While the author acknowledges that niches exist for high-value or specialized apparel, they suggest that South Africa's Customised Sector Programme (CSP) must change investor expectations rather than relying on the state-led 'Draconian measures' used by China to restructure its own industry in the 1990s.

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    Regions: South Africa
  • In a statement delivered in South Africa, WTO Director General Pascal Lamy assesses the outcomes of the Hong Kong Ministerial Conference and the remaining challenges for the Doha Development Agenda. He highlights agreements on the elimination of agricultural export subsidies by 2013, special protections for developing countries, and duty-free access for least developed countries (LDCs). Lamy emphasizes that concluding the round by the end of 2006 requires all major players—including the EU, US, Brazil, and India—to move from their current positions on agriculture, industrial tariffs, and services in concert.

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    Regions: World
  • EU Commissioner Peter Mandelson outlines the trade relationship between the EU and South Africa, noting a 46% increase in South African exports since 2000. He calls for a 'big agenda' to expand trade into services, investment, and procurement, while urging South Africa to submit a services offer in the Doha Development Agenda (DDA) and lead other developing nations in reducing South-South trade barriers.

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  • The author contends that the South African Parliament has become increasingly irrelevant because Members of Parliament (MPs) are accountable to their political parties rather than the electorate. To remedy this, the text proposes moving from a proportional representation party-list system to a mixed electoral system with constituency-based voting, as recommended by the Van Zyl Slabbert task team. Additionally, it suggests implementing a mandatory 'candidates' charter' that would require MPs to hold regular public meetings, declare assets and expenses, and be subject to a constituency right of recall for failure to adhere to these undertakings.

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    Regions: South Africa
  • The 6th WTO Ministerial Conference in Hong Kong resulted in a modest agreement that failed to achieve a major breakthrough on core issues. While some technical progress was made in agriculture and NAMA, and some flexibilities were granted to Least Developed Countries (LDCs), significant fault lines remain. The author argues that the EU is the primary obstacle to progress due to its reluctance to make substantial agricultural concessions, while simultaneously pressuring developing countries for greater market access in industrial goods and services.

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    Regions: Hong Kong
  • The document examines the transition of South African agriculture from a protected, apartheid-era system to a deregulated, export-oriented sector. It highlights a structural shift from animal production and field crops toward high-value horticultural products, particularly wine. While the commercial sector is globally integrated and productive, a stark dualism persists with an impoverished smallholder sector. National food security is high, though significant malnutrition remains at the household level, especially among children.

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    Regions: South Africa
  • The report finds that while a free trade agreement (FTA) could provide some duty-free access for products like peaches, manganese, wool, and animal hair, the most significant benefits would likely come from relaxing rules of origin for textiles and clothing and restricting US anti-dumping duties on iron and steel. It notes that a high proportion of SACU exports already face zero Most-Favoured Nation (MFN) tariffs, and many available preferences under AGOA are under-utilised due to rules of origin or lack of importer awareness. The report emphasizes the need for SACU to diversify exports beyond apparel, especially following the end of the Multifibre Arrangement (MFA) quotas in 2004.

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    Themes: trade policy
  • The report examines the entry of South African firms into the Egyptian market, highlighting the country's macroeconomic stability and growth since 1991. While South African companies find Egypt promising, they face significant hurdles including bureaucratic red tape, corruption, and cultural differences. The document provides a detailed overview of Egypt's socio-economic environment, sectoral strengths in energy and tourism, and specific recommendations for both the Egyptian and South African governments to enhance bilateral economic ties.

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    Regions: Egypt
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