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This policy brief outlines the sensitivity of Uganda's agriculture-dependent economy to rainfall fluctuations and highlights the systemic lack of accurate, long-term meteorological data due to infrastructure and personnel deficits. It introduces a study on climate trends and projections in Bundibugyo, Gulu, and Kotido as part of the Africa Climate Change Resilience Alliance (ACCRA) project.

This research paper examines the complex relationship between anthropogenic climate change and forced human migration. It challenges simplistic predictions of mass migration, arguing that displacement is driven by a combination of climate processes (slow-onset changes) and climate events (sudden hazards), mediated by non-climate factors such as governance, poverty, and adaptive capacity. The author outlines three speculative scenarios for future migration based on IPCC emission storylines and discusses the significant development implications for the poorest countries, which are expected to bear the greatest burden of providing for climate migrants.