Estimating Future Local Climate Hazard Probabilities

The document outlines a method for generating probability models of complex climate hazard indicators by selecting and calibrating downscaled global climate models. These local estimates are intended to support long-term planning for government, the private sector, and civil society across various domains including agriculture and disaster mitigation.

• The described method involves the selection and calibration of downscaled global climate models to create probability models for complex climate hazard indicators.
• Local estimates of future climate event frequencies are identified as beneficial for long-term planning and decision-making within civil society, the private sector, and government.
• The resulting probability distributions are designed to inform decision-making in specific fields, including risk management, agriculture, infrastructure planning, public health, and climate adaptation.

APA

World Resources Institute (n.d.). Estimating Future Local Climate Hazard Probabilities. https://www.wri.org/research/estimating-future-local-climate-hazard-probabilities

Chicago

World Resources Institute. Estimating Future Local Climate Hazard Probabilities. n.d. https://www.wri.org/research/estimating-future-local-climate-hazard-probabilities.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=World Resources Institute |title=Estimating Future Local Climate Hazard Probabilities |url=https://www.wri.org/research/estimating-future-local-climate-hazard-probabilities |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{worldresourcesinstitutendestimating, author = {{World Resources Institute}}, title = {{Estimating Future Local Climate Hazard Probabilities}}, institution = {World Resources Institute}, url = {https://www.wri.org/research/estimating-future-local-climate-hazard-probabilities}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }