Florida enfrentará inundaciones crónicas
Summary
The Union of Concerned Scientists identifies numerous Florida communities at risk of chronic flooding—defined as high tides flooding 10% or more of usable non-wetland area at least 26 times per year. Under an intermediate sea-level rise scenario, five communities will face chronic flooding by 2035 and 53 by 2100. High-risk areas like Miami Beach and Cayo Biscayne could see 60% and 50% of their area chronically flooded by 2060, respectively. The document argues that limiting global warming to approximately 1.8°C could save between 13 and 71 Florida communities from such flooding by the end of the century. Recommended actions include updating flood risk maps, reforming insurance premiums, funding FEMA programs, and implementing population relocation strategies for chronically flooded areas.
Key insights
- The Union of Concerned Scientists defines "chronic flooding" as occurring when high tides flood 10% or more of a community's usable, non-wetland area at least 26 times per year, or roughly once every two weeks.
- Under an intermediate sea-level rise scenario, five Florida communities will experience chronic flooding by 2035, increasing to 53 communities by 2100. Under a high scenario, an additional 14 communities will be exposed by 2060 and 32 more by 2100 compared to the intermediate scenario.
- Specific high-risk areas in Florida face severe projections: by 2045, approximately 30% of Miami Beach and 25% of Cayo Biscayne will be chronically flooded, rising to roughly 60% and 50% respectively by 2060. Additionally, the Florida Keys are projected to have between 10% and 30% of their land flooded twice monthly on average by 2035.
- Reducing future warming to approximately 1.8°C could prevent chronic flooding in 13 or more Florida communities by 2060, and between 39 and 71 communities by the end of the century.
- The document recommends three policy categories: ending policies that encourage risky coastal development (such as updating risk maps and reforming insurance premiums), improving existing frameworks (including funding FEMA and disaster mitigation subsidies), and creating bold new measures like population relocation and relocation infrastructure.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Union of Concerned Scientists (2017). Florida enfrentará inundaciones crónicas. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2017/07/SP-when-rising-seas-hit-home-florida-fact-sheet.pdf
- Chicago
- Union of Concerned Scientists. Florida enfrentará inundaciones crónicas. 2017. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2017/07/SP-when-rising-seas-hit-home-florida-fact-sheet.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=Union of Concerned Scientists |title=Florida enfrentará inundaciones crónicas |date=July 2017 |url=https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2017/07/SP-when-rising-seas-hit-home-florida-fact-sheet.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{unionofconcernedscientists2017florida, author = {{Union of Concerned Scientists}}, title = {{Florida enfrentará inundaciones crónicas}}, institution = {Union of Concerned Scientists}, year = {2017}, month = jul, url = {https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2017/07/SP-when-rising-seas-hit-home-florida-fact-sheet.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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