LA ESTRATEGIA DE DESARROLLO BAJA EN EMISIONES A LARGO PLAZO DE GUINEA ECUATORIAL

The LT-LEDS for Equatorial Guinea outlines two primary pathways for the country's climate future: a Base Scenario and a Mitigation Scenario. While the Base Scenario predicts a 31% increase in gross emissions by 2050, the Mitigation Scenario targets a 50% reduction in gross emissions compared to 2019 levels, aiming for net-negative emissions by 2050. The strategy focuses on four key sectors: Energy, Industrial Processes and Product Use (IPPU), Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU), and Waste. Key proposed actions include a total transition to renewable electricity by 2049, a 80% reduction in deforestation and forest degradation rates, and the implementation of a circular economy for waste. The document also emphasizes adaptation priorities, gender equality, and a 'just transition' to manage the economic risks associated with the country's high dependence on oil and gas.

• Equatorial Guinea is highly vulnerable to climate change, ranking as the 86th most vulnerable country and the 177th in terms of preparedness in 2022.
• The Base Scenario projects that by 2050, gross annual emissions will be 31% higher than 2019 levels, while net emissions will increase by approximately 560% due to a 75% loss in carbon absorption capacity.
• The Mitigation Scenario aims for a 50% reduction in gross emissions by 2050 relative to 2019, resulting in net-negative emissions of -7,300 Gg CO2eq.
• The energy sector's mitigation strategy involves a complete transition to renewable electricity (hydro, wind, and solar) by 2049, with a target of 77% renewable generation by 2035.
• In the AFOLU sector, the strategy targets an 80% reduction in deforestation and forest degradation rates by 2050 and a 50% reduction in the land area dedicated to agriculture.
• The IPPU sector is expected to see emissions growth in both scenarios due to carbon-intensive processes like methanol production, though the Mitigation Scenario reduces this growth through a 0.5% to 1% annual decrease in emission intensity.
• Waste management mitigation focuses on increasing the national recycling rate from 10% to 37% by 2050, including composting and biogas production.
• The country identifies its heavy economic dependence on oil and gas—which represents about 50% of the GDP—as the primary challenge to implementing the LT-LEDS.
• Adaptation priorities include the construction of climate-resilient urban and rural infrastructure, particularly in coastal areas, and the protection of mangrove ecosystems to reduce erosion.
• The strategy proposes a 'Just Transition' framework to manage risks such as the obsolescence of hydrocarbon investments and the loss of stability for families dependent on the oil industry.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2025). LA ESTRATEGIA DE DESARROLLO BAJA EN EMISIONES A LARGO PLAZO DE GUINEA ECUATORIAL. https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5171.pdf

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. LA ESTRATEGIA DE DESARROLLO BAJA EN EMISIONES A LARGO PLAZO DE GUINEA ECUATORIAL. 2025. https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5171.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=LA ESTRATEGIA DE DESARROLLO BAJA EN EMISIONES A LARGO PLAZO DE GUINEA ECUATORIAL |date=June 2025 |url=https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5171.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2025estrategia, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{LA ESTRATEGIA DE DESARROLLO BAJA EN EMISIONES A LARGO PLAZO DE GUINEA ECUATORIAL}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2025}, month = jun, url = {https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5171.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }