Peace & Security Council Report

The October 2022 Peace & Security Council Report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the resurgence of unconstitutional changes of government (UCGs) in Africa, the expansion of violent extremist groups in the Lake Chad Basin, and the asymmetrical progress between the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) and the Free Movement Protocol. It also highlights the urgent need for educational investment in Chad to mitigate population growth and economic instability.

• The African Union (AU) has experienced two major resurgences of unconstitutional changes of government (UCGs) since the 2000 Lomé Declaration: the first in 2008 involving Guinea, Mauritania, and Guinea-Bissau, and the second from 2021 to early 2022.
• Sustaining momentum against UCGs requires three factors: sustained leadership among member states, placing accountable governance at the center of policy solutions, and collective commitment to implementing frameworks. Civil society organisations (CSOs) are identified as key partners in translating these policies into outcomes.
• Violent extremist groups (VEGs) in the Lake Chad Basin (LCB), including ISWAP, Ansaru, and JAS, are expanding operations beyond the LCB and forming alliances with each other and organized criminal gangs. Between January and June 2022, Nigeria had 305 ISIS-claimed attacks, the second highest number globally after Iraq.
• There is a significant disparity in the adoption of AU integration instruments: while the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) is progressing well, the Free Movement Protocol is lagging. This asymmetry is driven by concerns over mass migration, state sovereignty, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and a lack of robust protective infrastructure to mitigate risks like terrorism and human trafficking.
• Chad faces a critical need to invest in education and human capital to diversify its economy away from fossil fuels and manage staggering population growth. The population is forecast to more than double from 16.2 million in 2019 to 34.2 million by 2043, while mean years of education are projected to rise only to five by 2043.
• The 'coup within a coup' in Burkina Faso on 1 October 2022, where Captain Ibrahim Traoré replaced Lieutenant Colonel Paul-Henri Sandaogo Damiba, illustrates a trend of instability in the Sahel. Such repeated military interventions may deter long-term investors and undermine democratic mechanisms.

APA

Maunganidze, O., Monyani, M., Alojo, A., Hoinathy, R., Samuel, M., Tayo, T., Atta-Asamoah, A., & Handy, P.-S. (2022). Peace & Security Council Report. Institute for Security Studies. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/psc-report-151.pdf

Chicago

Maunganidze, Ottilia, Margaret Monyani, Akinola Alojo, Remdji Hoinathy, Malik Samuel, Teniola Tayo, Andrews Atta-Asamoah, and Paul-Simon Handy. Peace & Security Council Report. Institute for Security Studies, 2022. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/psc-report-151.pdf.

Wikipedia

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BibTeX

@techreport{maunganidze2022peace, author = {Maunganidze, Ottilia and Monyani, Margaret and Alojo, Akinola and Hoinathy, Remdji and Samuel, Malik and Tayo, Teniola and Atta-Asamoah, Andrews and Handy, Paul-Simon}, title = {{Peace \& Security Council Report}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2022}, month = oct, url = {https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/psc-report-151.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }