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Morocco Development Futures
This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Morocco's development trajectory toward 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' forecast with eight sectoral scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It highlights Morocco's transition toward higher-value manufacturing, its strategic geographic position, and critical challenges including water scarcity, energy import dependence, and regional territorial disputes.
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Document type: Report
Morocco: Introduction
This introductory report provides a geographic, political, and demographic overview of the Kingdom of Morocco, detailing its territorial disputes, governance structure, and climate vulnerability.
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Document type: Report
Sub-Saharan Africa Development Futures: Current Path
This report provides a 'Current Path' development forecast for sub-Saharan Africa from 2019 to 2043, utilizing the International Futures (IFs) platform. It analyzes demographic shifts, economic growth, poverty trends, and energy transitions, projecting a region with significant population growth, increasing urbanization, and a shift toward manufacturing and renewable energy, despite persistent challenges with food insecurity and carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
NORTH AFRICA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for North Africa, projecting economic growth, poverty reduction, and sectoral shifts by 2043. The scenario integrates 11 sectoral improvements to forecast a significant increase in GDP per capita and a reduction in extreme poverty, while noting an increase in carbon emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
Conclusion: Aiming at food security and sustainable economic growth
This research paper conclusion argues that African nations must prioritize domestic food security, smallholder farming, and sustainable practices over international exports to drive economic growth and reduce poverty. It emphasizes the role of AgTech, irrigation, and political leadership in overcoming systemic barriers such as credit scarcity and climate change risks.
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Document type: Research paper
Africa’s future education requirements: Vocational education
This report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the state and requirements of vocational education in Africa, highlighting a significant mismatch between graduate skills and employer needs, low enrollment in vocational programs in sub-Saharan Africa, and the challenges posed by the Fourth Industrial Revolution.
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Document type: Report
Current Path: Thematic Futures
This report section analyzes the impact of commodity dependence on African economies, detailing the 'resource curse' where heavy reliance on raw material exports correlates with poor governance, political corruption, and slow economic growth. It contrasts the development trajectories of resource-rich and resource-poor nations and discusses the role of sovereign wealth funds and the global energy transition in shaping future demand.
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Document type: Report
AFRICA CURRENT PATH: THEMATIC FUTURES
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes trends in stability and armed conflict in Africa, highlighting the role of state-based violence, organized crime, and rapid urbanization in driving fatality rates.
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Document type: Research paper
The Manufacturing Sector in Africa
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the state of the manufacturing sector across Africa, highlighting a trend of premature deindustrialization and the varying levels of industrialization across different income groups. It examines the role of Chinese investment in the continent's industrial landscape and the challenges African nations face in moving from raw material exports to high-value manufacturing.
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Document type: Research paper
The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040
This document outlines the purpose and scope of a special report titled "The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040." The report utilizes the International Futures (IFs) forecasting platform to analyze Tunisia's current development trajectory and three alternative policy-driven pathways focusing on growth, sustainability and equality, and leapfrogging.
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Document type: Report
Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040
This document is the 'Purpose and Scope' section of a special report titled 'Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040'. It outlines the use of the International Futures modelling platform to analyze Algeria's current development state and project its trajectory to 2040, contrasting a 'Current Path' forecast with a positive 'Algerian Dream' scenario characterized by democratic governance and prosperity.
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Document type: Report
Green Investment in Africa: New Frontiers for Gulf Financing
This research paper examines the increasing flow of foreign direct investment from Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries—specifically the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar—into Africa. It details how these states are leveraging Africa's renewable energy potential and mineral resources to diversify their own hydrocarbon-dependent economies and secure food supply chains, while providing Africa with an alternative to Western and Chinese financing to address its infrastructure gap.
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Document type: Research paper
A Critical Assessment of ECOWAS' Role in Safeguarding Democracy in West Africa
This research paper by the Africa Policy Research Institute critically examines the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), arguing that its perceived success in promoting democracy was based on a narrow focus on elections while ignoring broader governance failures. The author contends that ECOWAS's tendency to defer to the interests of heads of state has led to a loss of legitimacy among citizens, contributing to a wave of coups since 2020 and the subsequent formation of the Alliance of Sahel States (AES).
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Document type: Research paper
Strengthening Partnerships for Sustainable Agrifood System Development in Africa
This research paper evaluates the partnership between Germany and African nations regarding agrifood systems transformation. It identifies a predominant reliance on aid-based cooperation and recommends a strategic shift toward private sector-led investment, trade promotion, and the development of regional agricultural value chains to enhance food security and economic growth.
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Document type: Research paper
Peace & Security Council Report
The May 2025 Peace & Security Council Report examines escalating tensions between Algeria and Mali, the institutional challenges of AU-ECOWAS collaboration, the rise of 'lawfare' to undermine democracy in Africa, and the role of illicit economies in fueling Sahelian extremism.
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Document type: Report
Peace & Security Council Report
The April 2025 Peace & Security Council Report by the Institute for Security Studies evaluates the African Union's (AU) peace and security architecture, focusing on the second term of PAPS Commissioner Bankole Adeoye, regional divisions in North Africa, the new AUSSOM mission in Somalia, and the challenges of mediation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
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Document type: Report
CONFERENCE REPORT
The Energizing Healthcare 2025 conference report details a two-day event focused on accelerating clean and reliable energy for healthcare facilities in low-resource settings. The report highlights a global energy access gap affecting 1 billion people and outlines the financial, technical, and coordination requirements needed to close this gap by 2030, emphasizing the transition from diesel to solar and the integration of energy into national climate and health planning.
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Document type: Report
Ghanas allgemeine Wahlen 2024: Kontext und Themen (EN) | Africa Policy Research Institute (APRI)
This policy brief examines the foreign and development relations between Africa, the European Union (EU), and Germany, arguing that these relationships are still characterized by 'coloniality'—the persistence of unequal power dynamics and colonial logic. The author analyzes how EU and German policies in security, raw material acquisition, and development aid often marginalize African agency, prioritize European economic interests, and employ 'saviourism' through top-down interventions. The document provides specific case studies from Mauritania, Mali, South Sudan, Namibia, and Zambia to illustrate these dynamics and concludes with recommendations for genuine decolonization, including respecting African demands on trade and resource beneficiation.
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Document type: Policy brief
Methane Mitigation in Agriculture: A Call for Sustainable Action at COP29 and Beyond
This research paper by the Africa Policy Research Institute examines strategies for reducing methane emissions in global agriculture, emphasizing the need for equitable policies that balance climate goals with food security and economic development, particularly in low- and middle-income countries.
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Document type: Research paper
Strategic Industrial Policy for Sustainable Development in Africa: The Case of Cement Manufacturing
This research paper examines the role of vertical industrial policies in Africa, using the cement industries of Nigeria and Morocco as primary case studies to demonstrate how targeted government intervention can drive sustainable industrial growth and economic diversification.
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Document type: Research paper