The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040

The document outlines the purpose and scope of a special report on Tunisia's potential development pathways to 2040. Using the International Futures (IFs) forecasting platform, the analysis establishes a 'Current Path' and compares it against three policy-driven scenarios: growth, sustainability and equality, and leapfrogging. The report emphasizes that governance reform is a necessary foundation for all three scenarios. For comparative analysis, Tunisia is categorized as a lower middle-income economy, and the report utilizes global lower middle-income groups and regions such as sub-Saharan Africa for benchmarking.

• The report evaluates Tunisia's future development through a baseline 'Current Path' and three distinct policy orientations: growth, sustainability and equality, and leapfrogging.
• Governance reform is identified as a fundamental requirement underpinning all three proposed development scenarios.
• Tunisia is classified as a lower middle-income economy within Africa, sharing this classification with Egypt, Mauritania, and Morocco in North Africa.

APA

Cilliers, J., & Kwasi, S. (2026). The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/tunisia&topic=02-purpose-and-scope

Chicago

Cilliers, Jakkie, and Stellah Kwasi. The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/tunisia&topic=02-purpose-and-scope.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Cilliers |first1=Jakkie |last2=Kwasi |first2=Stellah |title=The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040 |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/tunisia&topic=02-purpose-and-scope |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{cilliers2026rebirth, author = {Cilliers, Jakkie and Kwasi, Stellah}, title = {{The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/tunisia&topic=02-purpose-and-scope}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }