REPORTE TÉCNICO METODOLOGÍA, ANÁLISIS Y RESULTADOS DE VULNERABILIDAD, AMENAZA, RIESGO

The report analyzes the flood and heat risks in Durán, Ecuador, finding that 60% of the canton faces medium to very high flood risk. It identifies a strong correlation between informal settlements, low socioeconomic status, and high vulnerability. The study recommends a master plan for storm drainage, the restoration of mangroves to mitigate tidal effects, and the implementation of urban green structures to increase resilience.

• Approximately 60% of the Durán canton exhibits flood risk levels ranging from medium to very high, while 20% is low and 20% is very low.
• An estimated 76,000 people in Durán are at risk, with the highest concentrations in El Recreo (19%), Héctor Cobos (10%), 28 de agosto (9%), and 5 de junio (4%).
• High vulnerability is strongly associated with non-legalized informal settlements, which make up approximately 50% of the urban area and are characterized by a lack of basic services, sanitation, and drainage systems.
• Flood threats in Durán originate from two distinct sources: gravitational tidal effects and storms (rainfall), both of which are exacerbated by low topography, as more than 50% of the canton is below mean sea level.
• The city experiences an Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect, where high levels of risk are found in sectors with the highest density of construction and lowest albedo, such as Héctor Cobos, El Recreo, and areas near the E40 highway.
• The San Enrique canal is highly vulnerable to flooding due to low slopes, lack of maintenance, and the combined effect of tides, rainfall, and pipe discharge.
• Specific high-risk sectors face distinct impacts: '5 de Junio' suffers from vector-borne diseases and school disruptions; 'El Recreo' has over 4,000 homes exposed to flooding; and 'Héctor Cobos' experiences significant material losses in homes due to a lack of commercial establishments.
• To reduce flood risk, the report suggests restoring mangroves near the Babahoyo river mouth to indirectly slow tidal ingress and implementing a master plan for storm drainage.

APA

Borbor, M. J., Casierra, A., Constantine, A., Salvatierra, G., & Caiza, R. (n.d.). REPORTE TÉCNICO METODOLOGÍA, ANÁLISIS Y RESULTADOS DE VULNERABILIDAD, AMENAZA, RIESGO. Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research. https://iai.int/administrador/assets/images/ckfinder/files/SESI%C3%93N%202%20-%20LECTURA%20RECOMENDADA.pdf

Chicago

Borbor, Mercy J., Ashley Casierra, Annabell Constantine, Ger Salvatierra, and Rommel Caiza. REPORTE TÉCNICO METODOLOGÍA, ANÁLISIS Y RESULTADOS DE VULNERABILIDAD, AMENAZA, RIESGO. Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research, n.d. https://iai.int/administrador/assets/images/ckfinder/files/SESI%C3%93N%202%20-%20LECTURA%20RECOMENDADA.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Borbor |first1=Mercy J. |last2=Casierra |first2=Ashley |last3=Constantine |first3=Annabell |last4=Salvatierra |first4=Ger |last5=Caiza |first5=Rommel |title=REPORTE TÉCNICO METODOLOGÍA, ANÁLISIS Y RESULTADOS DE VULNERABILIDAD, AMENAZA, RIESGO |publisher=Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research |url=https://iai.int/administrador/assets/images/ckfinder/files/SESI%C3%93N%202%20-%20LECTURA%20RECOMENDADA.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{borborndreporte, author = {Borbor, Mercy J. and Casierra, Ashley and Constantine, Annabell and Salvatierra, Ger and Caiza, Rommel}, title = {{REPORTE TÉCNICO METODOLOGÍA, ANÁLISIS Y RESULTADOS DE VULNERABILIDAD, AMENAZA, RIESGO}}, institution = {Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research}, url = {https://iai.int/administrador/assets/images/ckfinder/files/SESI%C3%93N%202%20-%20LECTURA%20RECOMENDADA.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }