Paleotempestologia de la region caribena: un estudio multi-proxy de la variabilidad espacial y temporal de la actividad de los huracanes en el caribe en multiples sitios

This executive summary describes a paleotempestology project led by Louisiana State University to analyze long-term hurricane activity in the pan-Caribbean region and the Pacific coast of Mexico. The research utilizes proxy data from coastal lagoon sediments, stalagmites, tree-rings, and corals to understand the climate mechanisms driving hurricane variability and to assess future risks.

• A coral-based proxy record of Atlantic sea surface temperatures from AD 1552-1991 indicates that warmer sea surfaces coincide with higher hurricane activity, specifically before 1550 and after 1750, while cooler surfaces correlate with fewer storms in the Caribbean.
• Peaks in Atlantic hurricane activity occurred during the Medieval period (AD 900-1100) and again starting in 1980, driven by La Niña-like conditions and warmer sea surface temperatures. This activity is influenced by climate patterns including the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO).
• Proxy records from Belize and Nicaragua suggest an anti-phase relationship in hurricane landfall activity between the eastern Caribbean and U.S. East coast versus Central America. This suggests that steering patterns, influenced by the subtropical anticyclone and the inter-tropical convergence zone (ITCZ), affect coastal risks in the western Atlantic.
• Analysis of the Low-Level Jet (IALLJ) in the Intra-Americas Sea shows it is a critical factor for storm damage and hurricane strength because it affects moisture advection and sea surface temperatures.
• Demographic data from 2006 indicates that in the conterminous U.S., approximately 19 million people live in vulnerable areas within 1 km of the coastline, and 12 million people live in coastal areas with an elevation of three meters or less.

APA

Liu, K.-B. (2024). Paleotempestologia de la region caribena: un estudio multi-proxy de la variabilidad espacial y temporal de la actividad de los huracanes en el caribe en multiples sitios. Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research. https://iai.int/en/paleotempestologia-de-la-region-caribena-un-estudio-multi-proxy-de-la-variabilidad-espacial-y-temporal-de-la-actividad-de-los-huracanes-en-el-caribe-en-multiples-sitios-sgp-cra-2050/

Chicago

Liu, Kam-biu. Paleotempestologia de la region caribena: un estudio multi-proxy de la variabilidad espacial y temporal de la actividad de los huracanes en el caribe en multiples sitios. Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research, 2024. https://iai.int/en/paleotempestologia-de-la-region-caribena-un-estudio-multi-proxy-de-la-variabilidad-espacial-y-temporal-de-la-actividad-de-los-huracanes-en-el-caribe-en-multiples-sitios-sgp-cra-2050/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Liu |first1=Kam-biu |title=Paleotempestologia de la region caribena: un estudio multi-proxy de la variabilidad espacial y temporal de la actividad de los huracanes en el caribe en multiples sitios |publisher=Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research |date=17 October 2024 |url=https://iai.int/en/paleotempestologia-de-la-region-caribena-un-estudio-multi-proxy-de-la-variabilidad-espacial-y-temporal-de-la-actividad-de-los-huracanes-en-el-caribe-en-multiples-sitios-sgp-cra-2050/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{liu2024paleotempestologia, author = {Liu, Kam-biu}, title = {{Paleotempestologia de la region caribena: un estudio multi-proxy de la variabilidad espacial y temporal de la actividad de los huracanes en el caribe en multiples sitios}}, institution = {Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research}, year = {2024}, month = oct, url = {https://iai.int/en/paleotempestologia-de-la-region-caribena-un-estudio-multi-proxy-de-la-variabilidad-espacial-y-temporal-de-la-actividad-de-los-huracanes-en-el-caribe-en-multiples-sitios-sgp-cra-2050/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }