Summary
The report demonstrates that Europe can achieve a 94-96% clean power system by 2035 at no extra cost compared to stated policies, provided wind and solar deployment quadruples. This transition would enable wider electrification, potentially halving fossil fuel consumption by 2030 and saving between €530 billion and €1 trillion by 2035. Key requirements include expanding interconnection, deploying electrolysers for green hydrogen, and phasing out coal by 2030 and unabated baseload gas after 2025.
Key insights
- A clean European power system (94-96% clean) is achievable by 2035 at no extra cost relative to stated policies, as higher upfront capital for renewables is offset by avoided carbon costs and reduced investment in nuclear and fossil capacities.
- To reach the 2035 milestone, annual growth in wind and solar capacity must quadruple by 2025 compared to the 2010-2020 average of 24 GW per year, reaching a deployment rate of 100-165 GW per year between 2025 and 2035.
- Increased electrification and energy savings could reduce Europe's primary fossil fuel consumption by 38-50% by 2030, with electrification accounting for approximately 70% of these reductions.
- The transition to a clean power system by 2035 could generate total system cost savings of €530 billion to €1.01 trillion by 2035 through avoided fossil fuel consumption in transport, industry, and buildings.
- To align with 1.5C goals, coal must be phased out by 2030 and unabated gas generation must be reduced to less than 5% of the total power supply by 2035.
- No new unabated baseload gas plants need to be commissioned after 2025, as the existing pipeline is sufficient if wind, solar, and flexibility infrastructure are adequately deployed.
- System flexibility is essential for integrating variable renewables and is primarily provided by three technologies: electrolysers (growing to 200-400 GW by 2035), expanded interconnections (doubling by 2035), and clean dispatchable generation.
- Modelling indicates that a 95% clean power system is reliable and resilient to extreme weather events, such as simultaneous cold spells and 'dunkelflaute' (calm, overcast conditions), through the use of demand-side flexibility and interconnections.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Rosslowe, D. C., Cremona, E., & Harrison, T. (2022). New Generation. Ember. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2022/06/Report-New-Generation-23.06.22.pdf
- Chicago
- Rosslowe, Dr Chris, Elisabeth Cremona, and Tomos Harrison. New Generation. Ember, 2022. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2022/06/Report-New-Generation-23.06.22.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |last1=Rosslowe |first1=Dr Chris |last2=Cremona |first2=Elisabeth |last3=Harrison |first3=Tomos |title=New Generation |publisher=Ember |date=22 June 2022 |url=https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2022/06/Report-New-Generation-23.06.22.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{rosslowe2022new, author = {Rosslowe, Dr Chris and Cremona, Elisabeth and Harrison, Tomos}, title = {{New Generation}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2022}, month = jun, url = {https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2022/06/Report-New-Generation-23.06.22.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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