the-forestclimate-nexus-for-the-brazilian-amazon-2bd3357d7a3fbc03.pdf
Summary
The report identifies a significant opportunity for carbon capture in the Brazilian Amazon, estimating that natural regeneration of deforested areas could sequester up to 26 GtCO₂. It proposes the Reversing Deforestation Mechanism (RDM), a jurisdictional results-based payment system, which could mobilize up to US$ 784 billion over 30 years at a carbon price of US$ 50 per ton. The RDM is presented as a complementary tool alongside JREDD+ (focused on reducing deforestation) and the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF, focused on conserving standing forests) to help Brazil meet its NDC targets and transition to a low-carbon economy.
Key insights
- Natural regeneration of areas already deforested in the Brazilian Amazon has the potential to capture up to 26 GtCO₂.
- The Reversing Deforestation Mechanism (RDM) could mobilize up to US$ 784 billion in the Brazilian Amazon over a 30-year period, assuming a carbon price of US$ 50 per ton of CO₂.
- Carbon capture potential varies significantly by state; Pará has the highest potential (9.6 GtCO₂), followed by Mato Grosso (7.3 GtCO₂), while Amapá has the lowest (0.1 GtCO₂).
- The RDM is designed as a jurisdictional, results-based payment mechanism that remunerates net carbon removals, subtracting emissions from deforestation and agriculture from the carbon captured by restoration.
- The report proposes a complementary financial architecture for the Amazon: JREDD+ to reduce deforestation, the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) to conserve standing forests, and the RDM to promote restoration.
- The RDM can support Brazil's new Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), which targets a 59% to 67% reduction in net emissions compared to 2005, by providing a path to offset emissions such as the 1.06 billion tons of CO₂ caused by deforestation in 2023.
- Brazil possesses existing technical infrastructure to support the RDM, including satellite systems like DETER and PRODES, the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR), and the Amazon Fund.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Climate Policy Initiative (n.d.). the-forestclimate-nexus-for-the-brazilian-amazon-2bd3357d7a3fbc03.pdf. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/The-ForestClimate-Nexus-for-the-Brazilian-Amazon.pdf
- Chicago
- Climate Policy Initiative. the-forestclimate-nexus-for-the-brazilian-amazon-2bd3357d7a3fbc03.pdf. n.d. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/The-ForestClimate-Nexus-for-the-Brazilian-Amazon.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=Climate Policy Initiative |title=the-forestclimate-nexus-for-the-brazilian-amazon-2bd3357d7a3fbc03.pdf |url=https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/The-ForestClimate-Nexus-for-the-Brazilian-Amazon.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{climatepolicyinitiativendtheforestclimatenexusforthebrazilianamazon2bd3357d7a3fbc03pdf, author = {{Climate Policy Initiative}}, title = {{the-forestclimate-nexus-for-the-brazilian-amazon-2bd3357d7a3fbc03.pdf}}, institution = {Climate Policy Initiative}, url = {https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/The-ForestClimate-Nexus-for-the-Brazilian-Amazon.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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