A Queda do Desmatamento na Amazônia Brasileira: Preços ou Políticas?

This executive summary analyzes the causes of the reduction in deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon between 2004 and 2009, specifically evaluating whether the decline was driven by agricultural commodity prices or government conservation policies. The study concludes that conservation policies were effective, preventing the deforestation of approximately 73,000 km² of forest.

• Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon decreased significantly from a peak of approximately 27,000 km² in 2004 to 7,000 km² by 2009.
• Conservation policies introduced in the second half of the 2000s were effective, preventing the deforestation of roughly 73,000 km² of the Amazon forest between 2005 and 2009. This represents nearly 60% of the forest cover that would have been lost without these policies, avoiding the loss of 2.7 billion tons of stored CO2, valued at USD 13.2 billion.
• The 2004 policy inflection point was marked by the launch of the Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of Deforestation in the Legal Amazon (PPCDAm). This plan integrated federal, state, and municipal governments with civil society and specialized organizations, utilizing the Real-Time Deforestation Detection System (DETER) from the National Institute for Space Research (INPE) to improve monitoring and law enforcement.
• The 2008 policy inflection point introduced targeted actions for 36 priority municipalities with high deforestation rates, stricter administrative processes for environmental infractions via Presidential Decree 6.514, and the conditioning of rural credit for agricultural activities in the Amazon biome on proof of environmental and property rights compliance (Resolution 3.545).
• Agricultural commodity prices have a causal effect on deforestation in the Legal Amazon, though the impact varies by product. Higher prices for agricultural products are associated with increased deforestation in the following year, particularly when price changes occur before the planting season. Cattle prices have a heterogeneous effect: while they can drive future deforestation as an investment in herd size, high current prices may also reduce pressure on the forest if producers sell cattle to realize immediate gains.

APA

Assunção, J., Gandour, C., & Rocha, R. (2015). A Queda do Desmatamento na Amazônia Brasileira: Preços ou Políticas? Climate Policy Initiative. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Queda-do-Desmatamento-na-Amazônia-Preços-ou-Políticas.pdf

Chicago

Assunção, Juliano, Clarissa Gandour, and Rudi Rocha. A Queda do Desmatamento na Amazônia Brasileira: Preços ou Políticas? Climate Policy Initiative, 2015. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Queda-do-Desmatamento-na-Amazônia-Preços-ou-Políticas.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Assunção |first1=Juliano |last2=Gandour |first2=Clarissa |last3=Rocha |first3=Rudi |title=A Queda do Desmatamento na Amazônia Brasileira: Preços ou Políticas? |publisher=Climate Policy Initiative |date=March 2015 |url=https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Queda-do-Desmatamento-na-Amazônia-Preços-ou-Políticas.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{assuno2015queda, author = {Assunção, Juliano and Gandour, Clarissa and Rocha, Rudi}, title = {{A Queda do Desmatamento na Amazônia Brasileira: Preços ou Políticas?}}, institution = {Climate Policy Initiative}, year = {2015}, month = mar, url = {https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Queda-do-Desmatamento-na-Amazônia-Preços-ou-Políticas.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }