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This report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI/PUC-Rio) and Amazônia 2030 analyzes the potential for carbon capture through forest restoration in the Brazilian Amazon. It proposes the Reversing Deforestation Mechanism (RDM), a jurisdictional payment system for net carbon removals, as a way to generate significant economic revenue and help Brazil meet its climate goals (NDC). The report argues that combining the RDM with other financial mechanisms like JREDD+ and the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) can create a comprehensive financial architecture to protect standing forests and restore degraded lands.

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  • The Brazilian Amazon has a significant potential for carbon capture through natural regeneration in deforested areas, with the ability to capture up to 26 GtCO₂ across the region.
  • The Reversing Deforestation Mechanism (RDM), a jurisdictional remuneration system for net carbon captured, could generate up to US$ 784 billion in the Brazilian Amazon over a 30-year horizon, assuming a carbon price of US$ 50 per ton of CO₂.
  • Carbon capture potential varies significantly by state; Pará has the highest potential for capture due to its high accumulated deforestation, followed by Mato Grosso. In contrast, Amazonas holds the largest area of remaining forest as of 2024.
  • The report identifies three complementary financial mechanisms for the forest: JREDD+ (focused on reducing deforestation), TFFF (remunerating standing forest), and RDM (focusing on large-scale carbon capture via restoration).
  • The RDM is presented as a tool to help Brazil achieve its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) goals, which require a reduction of 59% to 67% of net emissions relative to 2005 (targeting 850 million to 1.05 billion tons of CO₂ per year).
  • Brazil possesses existing technical and institutional infrastructure to support the RDM, including satellite monitoring systems (Deter and Prodes), the MapBiomas project, the Imazon Deforestation Alert System (SAD), and the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR).

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APA
Climate Policy Initiative (n.d.). o-nexo-floresta-clima-para-a-amazonia-brasileira-2b757150180f5abe.pdf. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/O-Nexo-Floresta-Clima-para-a-Amazonia-Brasileira.pdf
Chicago
Climate Policy Initiative. o-nexo-floresta-clima-para-a-amazonia-brasileira-2b757150180f5abe.pdf. n.d. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/O-Nexo-Floresta-Clima-para-a-Amazonia-Brasileira.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=Climate Policy Initiative |title=o-nexo-floresta-clima-para-a-amazonia-brasileira-2b757150180f5abe.pdf |url=https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/O-Nexo-Floresta-Clima-para-a-Amazonia-Brasileira.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{climatepolicyinitiativendonexoflorestaclimaparaaamazoniabrasileira2b757150180f5abepdf, author = {{Climate Policy Initiative}}, title = {{o-nexo-floresta-clima-para-a-amazonia-brasileira-2b757150180f5abe.pdf}}, institution = {Climate Policy Initiative}, url = {https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/O-Nexo-Floresta-Clima-para-a-Amazonia-Brasileira.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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