2025 Policy Dialogue on Just Energy Transitions: Pathways to Prosperity Post Fossil Fuels (PPFF)

The 2025 Policy Dialogue on Just Energy Transitions highlights that the peak in global oil and gas demand is being accelerated by low-carbon technology rather than climate policy. It argues that producer countries must implement structural economic transformations, fiscal reforms, and new collaborative governance models with importers to ensure a just and orderly transition. The report emphasizes the role of regionally led economic modelling and the need to overcome financial bottlenecks to avoid stranded assets and fiscal contraction.

• The forecasted peak in global oil and gas demand is primarily driven by the affordability and efficiency of low-carbon technologies, which are replacing the largest uses of these fuels, rather than by new climate policies.
• Producer countries face significant fiscal risks, including revenue loss, debt cycles, and stranded assets, necessitating fiscal and legal reforms to improve revenue management and attract private finance.
• Economic diversification for oil and gas exporters requires a structural transformation based on empirical analysis to avoid costly, ineffective projects, with opportunities in green energy supply chains like green hydrogen and critical minerals.
• New multilateral governance models and importer-exporter collaborations are essential to align interests, manage demand decline, and facilitate technology transfer and financing.
• Regionally led economic modelling is a critical tool for governments to create realistic transition scenarios, optimize energy mixes, and identify viable entry points into new supply chains.
• The transition to renewable energy will shift geopolitical dynamics, potentially reducing energy trade due to the localized nature of renewables while creating new dependencies through critical mineral and clean molecule supply chains.

APA

Hansen, B., Hogbin, J.-A., Rodríguez, I. J., & Morley-Williams, C. (2025). 2025 Policy Dialogue on Just Energy Transitions: Pathways to Prosperity Post Fossil Fuels (PPFF). Climate Strategies. https://climatestrategies.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/SG_JET_Report_FINAL.pdf

Chicago

Hansen, Brynn, Julie-Anne Hogbin, Inés Jiménez Rodríguez, and Coltrane Morley-Williams. 2025 Policy Dialogue on Just Energy Transitions: Pathways to Prosperity Post Fossil Fuels (PPFF). Climate Strategies, 2025. https://climatestrategies.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/SG_JET_Report_FINAL.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Hansen |first1=Brynn |last2=Hogbin |first2=Julie-Anne |last3=Rodríguez |first3=Inés Jiménez |last4=Morley-Williams |first4=Coltrane |title=2025 Policy Dialogue on Just Energy Transitions: Pathways to Prosperity Post Fossil Fuels (PPFF) |publisher=Climate Strategies |date=2025 |url=https://climatestrategies.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/SG_JET_Report_FINAL.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{hansen20252025, author = {Hansen, Brynn and Hogbin, Julie-Anne and Rodríguez, Inés Jiménez and Morley-Williams, Coltrane}, title = {{2025 Policy Dialogue on Just Energy Transitions: Pathways to Prosperity Post Fossil Fuels (PPFF)}}, institution = {Climate Strategies}, year = {2025}, url = {https://climatestrategies.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/SG_JET_Report_FINAL.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }