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Climate Central analysis shows that human-caused climate change significantly increased the number of days with maximum temperatures exceeding 90°F in West Africa's cocoa belt from 2015 to 2024. The most severe impacts occurred in Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana, where climate change added approximately 40 days of growth-limiting heat per year. These temperature extremes, combined with shifting rainfall patterns and pests, threaten global cocoa supplies, increase chocolate prices, and endanger the health and livelihoods of small-scale farmers.

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  • Between 2015 and 2024, human-caused climate change increased the frequency of daily maximum temperatures above the optimal growth range for cacao (90°F) across West Africa. In Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana, which produce over half of the world's cocoa, climate change added an average of about 40 days per year above this threshold.
  • Other West African cocoa producers also saw increases in heat-limiting days due to climate change, with Cameroon averaging 18 additional days and Nigeria averaging 14 additional days per year.
  • The analysis of 44 cacao-growing regions revealed that 28 of them experienced at least six additional weeks of heat above 90°F annually because of human-induced climate change.
  • Beyond temperature, cocoa production is threatened by inconsistent rainfall patterns, illegal mining, smuggling, and the cacao swollen shoot virus spread by mealybugs. These factors contributed to a 136% surge in cocoa prices between July 2022 and February 2024.
  • Extreme heat poses direct health risks to cocoa farmworkers, many of whom are children or older adults earning less than $1 equivalent per day, and compounds the dangers of physically demanding work and chemical exposure.

Cite the original document

APA
Climate Central (2025). Climate Change is Heating Up West Africa's Cocoa Belt. https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/climate-and-cocoa-2025
Chicago
Climate Central. Climate Change is Heating Up West Africa's Cocoa Belt. 2025. https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/climate-and-cocoa-2025.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=Climate Central |title=Climate Change is Heating Up West Africa's Cocoa Belt |date=12 February 2025 |url=https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/climate-and-cocoa-2025 |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{climatecentral2025climate, author = {{Climate Central}}, title = {{Climate Change is Heating Up West Africa's Cocoa Belt}}, institution = {Climate Central}, year = {2025}, month = feb, url = {https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/climate-and-cocoa-2025}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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