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Since 1970, fall temperatures in the contiguous U.S. have increased by an average of 2.7 °F, with warming observed in 97% of 245 analyzed cities. The most significant warming occurred in Nevada, Texas, and Arizona, with Reno, Nevada, recording the highest increase at 7.7 °F. This trend has led to a higher frequency of above-normal fall days, affecting 74% of analyzed cities. These temperature shifts extend health risks from extreme heat, prolong pollen and wildfire seasons, allow disease-carrying insects to persist longer, and disrupt ecological events such as bird migrations and fruit ripening.

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  • Average fall temperatures across the contiguous U.S. have risen by 2.7 °F since 1970, with more pronounced warming in the Northeast, upper Midwest, and western U.S.
  • Analysis of 245 U.S. cities shows that 97% (238 cities) have experienced fall warming since 1970, with 139 of those cities warming by 2 °F or more.
  • The highest levels of fall warming exceeded 5 °F in Arizona, Texas, and Nevada, specifically in Reno (+7.7 °F), Las Vegas (6.2 °F), El Paso (5.8 °F), Tucson (5.5 °F), and Phoenix (5.3 °F).
  • The number of fall days with above-normal temperatures has increased for 74% (182) of the analyzed cities, with 11 locations seeing an increase of 30 or more days; Reno recorded the highest increase with 44 additional above-normal days.
  • Warmer falls create a range of risks, including extended heat-related illness for vulnerable populations, longer pollen and wildfire seasons, increased persistence of mosquitoes and ticks, and disruptions to bird migrations, hibernation, and fruit ripening.

Cite the original document

APA
Gallinat, A., & Sánchez-Lugo, A. (2022). 2022 Fall Package. Climate Central. https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/2022-fall-package
Chicago
Gallinat, Amanda, and Ahira Sánchez-Lugo. 2022 Fall Package. Climate Central, 2022. https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/2022-fall-package.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Gallinat |first1=Amanda |last2=Sánchez-Lugo |first2=Ahira |title=2022 Fall Package |publisher=Climate Central |date=31 August 2022 |url=https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/2022-fall-package |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{gallinat20222022, author = {Gallinat, Amanda and Sánchez-Lugo, Ahira}, title = {{2022 Fall Package}}, institution = {Climate Central}, year = {2022}, month = aug, url = {https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/2022-fall-package}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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