Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda

The study examines the vulnerability of Arabica coffee in Bududa, Uganda, to climate variability and projected climate change. It finds that yields have declined due to poor management and extreme weather, including droughts and landslides. The report argues that transitioning from 'Business as Usual' (BAU) to Climate Smart Agriculture (CSA)—defined here as planting shade trees, mulching, and trench construction—significantly improves the internal rate of return (IRR) for farmers, even under future climate scenarios. While costly, the study concludes that a combined programme of CSA and institutional support is economically justified, with a projected IRR of around 36%.

• Arabica coffee production in Bududa has seen a significant decline, with total production dropping from 12,000 tonnes in 1991 to approximately 5,000 tonnes in 2014, a reduction of around 66%.
• Climate projections for the Bududa district indicate that by the 2080s, temperatures are expected to rise by 2.7 to 4.6°C, while annual rainfall is predicted to decrease by 10-12%.

APA

Markandya, A., Dale, N., Garcia, J., Langoya, C., & Monkhouse, C. (2015). Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda. Climate and Development Knowledge Network. https://cdkn.org/sites/default/files/files/Uganda_CC-Economics_Mount-Elgon_case-study.pdf

Chicago

Markandya, Anil, Nick Dale, Jon Garcia, CD Langoya, and Claire Monkhouse. Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda. Climate and Development Knowledge Network, 2015. https://cdkn.org/sites/default/files/files/Uganda_CC-Economics_Mount-Elgon_case-study.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Markandya |first1=Anil |last2=Dale |first2=Nick |last3=Garcia |first3=Jon |last4=Langoya |first4=CD |last5=Monkhouse |first5=Claire |title=Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda |publisher=Climate and Development Knowledge Network |date=October 2015 |url=https://cdkn.org/sites/default/files/files/Uganda_CC-Economics_Mount-Elgon_case-study.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{markandya2015economic, author = {Markandya, Anil and Dale, Nick and Garcia, Jon and Langoya, CD and Monkhouse, Claire}, title = {{Economic Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda}}, institution = {Climate and Development Knowledge Network}, year = {2015}, month = oct, url = {https://cdkn.org/sites/default/files/files/Uganda_CC-Economics_Mount-Elgon_case-study.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }