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Climate Change and Hydropower in the Southern African Power Pool and Zambezi River Basin: System-wide Impacts and Policy Implications
The paper assesses the vulnerability of hydropower in the Zambezi River Basin to climate change, noting that a drying climate could reduce output by 10–20%. While long-term regional cost increases are small, hydro-dependent nations like Mozambique and Zambia may face near-term cost increases of 20–30%. The potential displacement of hydropower by coal could increase regional greenhouse gas emissions, impacting commitments under the Paris Agreement and necessitating stronger cooperative governance and integrated electricity planning.
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Document type: Research paper
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