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Future cropland expansion, biodiversity and carbon storage modelling
This research paper by the Stockholm Environment Institute evaluates the uncertainties in projections of future cropland expansion and its subsequent impact on biodiversity and carbon storage. By comparing three socio-economic scenarios (SSP1-3) across three models (IMAGE, GLOBIOM, and PLUMv2), the study finds that the choice of model influences results more than the chosen scenario, highlighting a need for improved accuracy in land-based modelling to better prioritise the protection of carbon-rich and biodiverse areas.
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Document type: Research paper
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