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The analysis of draft NECPs reveals that the EU is set to miss its 2030 coal phase-out goals, with 11 Member States planning no phase-out and 60 GW of coal capacity projected to remain. The report highlights a disconnect where countries receiving EU just transition funding, such as Poland and Czechia, lack credible phase-out plans in their NECPs.

The document advocates for the transition from food-based biofuels to cellulosic biofuels, which are derived from energy crops, agricultural residues, waste, and forest materials. It estimates that the US could sustainably produce up to 40 billion gallons of cellulosic biofuel annually by 2035, potentially reducing oil use by 1.5 million barrels per day and cutting global warming emissions by 164 million metric tons per year.