{"query_echo":{"q":"","filters":{"analysis_type":["capacity projection"]},"warnings":[{"code":"facet_value_not_in_vocabulary","message":"Value 'capacity projection' for facet 'analysis_type' is not in the controlled vocabulary."}]},"total":{"value":2,"relation":"eq"},"page":1,"page_size":20,"self":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/api/v1/search?analysis_type=capacity+projection","stability":"beta","ai_marking":{"digital_source_type":{"uri":"http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/digitalsourcetype/trainedAlgorithmicMedia","name":"Created using Generative AI"},"notice":"Summary and key insights are generated using artificial intelligence."},"results":[{"id":"ember-000337","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/ember-000337","title":"Just transition or just talk?","publisher":{"name":"Ember","organization":"ember"},"document_type":"report","language":"en","date_published":"2019-05","source_url":"https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2020/03/Just-Transition-or-Just-Talk-2019.pdf","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","geography_discussed","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The analysis of draft NECPs reveals that the EU is set to miss its 2030 coal phase-out goals, with 11 Member States planning no phase-out and 60 GW of coal capacity projected to remain. The report highlights a disconnect where countries receiving EU just transition funding, such as Poland and Czechia, lack credible phase-out plans in their NECPs.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000337#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"The EU is projected to maintain 60 GW of installed coal capacity by 2030, representing a reduction of only 58% from the 2019 level of 143 GW.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000337#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Of the 21 EU Member States using coal for electricity, only 8 have a clear commitment to phase out coal between 2021 and 2030; 11 Member States have no such plan and most show little to no capacity decrease compared to 2019.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000337#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"The majority of the EU's remaining coal capacity in 2030 will be concentrated in six countries: Poland, Germany, Czechia, Bulgaria, Romania, and Greece.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000337#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Several Member States are receiving support through the EU Commission’s Coal Regions in Transition Platform despite lacking phase-out plans in their NECPs, specifically Czechia, Greece, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, and Slovenia.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000337#insight-4","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Air pollution from coal power in Bulgaria, Czechia, Poland, Romania, Greece, Slovakia, and Slovenia is estimated to cause 5,460 premature deaths and nearly 105,000 childhood asthma attacks annually, with a societal cost of approximately 16 billion euros.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ember-000337#insight-5","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["Coal phase-out","just transition","renewable energy","European Union Emission Trading Scheme 1","greenhouse gas emissions","climate finance","air pollution"],"geography_discussed":["Poland","Germany","Czech Republic","Bulgaria","Romania","Greece","Slovakia","Slovenia","Spain","France","Ireland","Italy","Netherlands","Finland","Portugal","Denmark","Austria","United Kingdom","Sweden","Hungary","Croatia"],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["policy analysis","capacity projection","ranking"]},{"id":"ucs-000006","url":"https://climateinsightsdirectory.org/document/ucs-000006","title":"Better biofuels","publisher":{"name":"Union of Concerned Scientists","organization":"union-of-concerned-scientists"},"document_type":"fact sheet","language":"en","date_published":"2013-10-09","source_url":"https://www.ucs.org/resources/better-biofuels","generator":"Climate Insights Directory","generated_fields":["summary","key_insights","climate_tags","analysis_type"],"summary":{"text":"The document advocates for the transition from food-based biofuels to cellulosic biofuels, which are derived from energy crops, agricultural residues, waste, and forest materials. It estimates that the US could sustainably produce up to 40 billion gallons of cellulosic biofuel annually by 2035, potentially reducing oil use by 1.5 million barrels per day and cutting global warming emissions by 164 million metric tons per year.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000006#summary","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},"key_insights":[{"text":"Cellulosic biofuels are produced from four main non-food categories: energy crops (such as switchgrass, miscanthus, hybrid poplar, and willow), agricultural residues (such as corn stover and wheat straw), waste materials (including lawn clippings and household garbage), and forest materials (such as tree tops and limbs).","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000006#insight-1","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"By 2035, the US could sustainably produce up to 677 million dry tons of non-food biomass, with 610 million dry tons available for cellulosic biofuels. This biomass consists primarily of energy crops (400 million dry tons), followed by agricultural residues (155 million dry tons), urban and mill waste (43 million dry tons), and forests (20 million dry tons). This capacity could realistically produce 40 billion gallons of cellulosic biofuel.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000006#insight-2","date_modified":"2026-10-23"},{"text":"Cellulosic biofuels can reduce lifecycle global warming emissions by up to 90 percent compared to gasoline. An annual production of 40 billion gallons would reduce oil use by approximately 1.5 million barrels per day and decrease global warming emissions by 164 million metric tons per year, which is equivalent to the emissions of 46 average-sized coal-fired power plants.","ai_generated":true,"unit":"ucs-000006#insight-3","date_modified":"2026-10-23"}],"climate_tags":["sustainable agriculture","biofuel"],"geography_discussed":[],"frame_perspective":[],"analysis_type":["impact assessment","capacity projection"]}]}