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Balances oferta-demanda de energía eléctrica ante escenarios de salida de plantas térmicas en Colombia
This policy brief by Transforma analyzes the impact of phasing out coal and gas-fired thermal power plants on Colombia's electricity supply-demand balance between 2025 and 2038. While average energy balances remain positive, the study identifies significant risks to 'firm energy' (guaranteed capacity during critical conditions like droughts), projecting deficits in all phase-out scenarios. The document emphasizes that current planned renewable projects are insufficient to offset the loss of thermal backup and suggests a combination of increased renewable capacity, improved transmission infrastructure, and demand-side management to maintain system stability.
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Document type: Policy brief