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The World Weather Attribution (WWA) consortium states it is unable to conduct a formal analysis of climate change's effect on Hurricane Florence's rainfall due to observational challenges, a lack of high-resolution models, and insufficient funding and manpower. While acknowledging a separate study by Reed et al. and the general scientific consensus that global warming increases precipitation, the WWA notes that storm surges—affected by sea level rise—are also expected but are not part of their current attribution assessment.

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  • The WWA consortium identified three primary obstacles preventing an attribution analysis of Hurricane Florence's rainfall: the difficulty of observational analysis due to coastal gradients and mountains, the availability of only one high-resolution model when multiple ensembles are required, and a lack of funding and manpower.
  • The document distinguishes its methodology from a study by Reed et al.; while WWA computes the change in probability for a class of extreme events, Reed et al. investigated only the specific event of Hurricane Florence.
  • The WWA acknowledges that while sea level rise affects the storm surges expected from Hurricane Florence, this factor is not included in their attribution assessment.

Cite the original document

APA
World Weather Attribution (2018). Hurricane Florence September 2018. https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/hurricane-florence-september-2018/
Chicago
World Weather Attribution. Hurricane Florence September 2018. 2018. https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/hurricane-florence-september-2018/.
Wikipedia
{{cite press release |author=World Weather Attribution |title=Hurricane Florence September 2018 |date=13 September 2018 |url=https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/hurricane-florence-september-2018/ |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@misc{worldweatherattribution2018hurricane, author = {{World Weather Attribution}}, title = {{Hurricane Florence September 2018}}, publisher = {World Weather Attribution}, year = {2018}, month = sep, url = {https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/hurricane-florence-september-2018/}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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