Rethinking Financial Innovation
Summary
The report argues that while financial innovation is broadly beneficial for economic growth and capital productivity, it introduces 'Knightian uncertainty'—immeasurable risk due to a lack of historical data. This uncertainty contributed to the 2007 financial crisis through the misapplication of instruments like Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs), and Credit Default Swaps (CDSs). To mitigate future risks, the report recommends that financial institutions adapt their Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) and New Product Approval (NPA) processes, redesign incentives to align with long-term value, and adopt a 'consumer orientation' strategy. For regulators, it suggests a pro-competition approach, strengthened systemic risk oversight, and collaboration with the industry to monitor innovation. The document also explores the impact of business method patents in the US and the potential for financial innovation to promote inclusiveness in developing economies through tools like microfinance and mobile banking.
Key insights
- Financial innovation introduces 'Knightian uncertainty', meaning its impact is often unmeasurable because there are no historical metrics to determine its effect on the world.
- The 2007 financial crisis was exacerbated by the 'originate to distribute' model, where lenders loosened standards to meet investor demand for Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), particularly in the subprime market.
- Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs), especially synthetic versions, increased systemic risk by allowing institutions to leverage their exposure to the housing market and creating opacity that made it difficult to determine market value.
- Credit Default Swaps (CDSs) contributed to the crisis by enabling the rapid creation of synthetic CDOs and by allowing risk to be transferred to issuers, such as AIG, who lacked sufficient capital reserves.
- Structured Investment Vehicles (SIVs) were vulnerable due to their reliance on short-term commercial paper to fund long-term securities, leading to a liquidity crunch when investor confidence collapsed in 2007.
- To manage innovation risk, institutions should use forward-looking stress tests and consider flexible methodological approaches like 'real options' and 'fuzzy logic' to handle out-of-sample data.
- The report recommends a 'caveat venditor' (let the seller beware) strategy for retail customers, focusing on product simplicity, transparency, and matching products to real consumer needs.
- Incentive systems should be redesigned to include deferrals and clawbacks, especially for products with tenures longer than one year, to prevent short-term profit-seeking at the expense of long-term stability.
- Regulators are advised to use a 'lightest touch' approach to avoid stifling innovation while focusing on systemic risk oversight and the prevention of regulatory arbitrage.
- Financial innovation can drive inclusiveness in developing regions; for example, M-PESA in Kenya provided millions of households with access to financial services via mobile phones.
- In the US, the strengthening of patent law and the State Street decision led to a surge in 'business method patents', though these are sought by a wide variety of industries, not just financial services.
- New private marketplaces like SecondMarket and SharesPost in the US provide liquidity for shares in private companies but may increase risks due to a lack of regulatory disclosure and investor protection.
Cite the original document
- APA
- World Economic Forum (2012). Rethinking Financial Innovation. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_FS_RethinkingFinancialInnovation_Report_2012.pdf
- Chicago
- World Economic Forum. Rethinking Financial Innovation. 2012. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_FS_RethinkingFinancialInnovation_Report_2012.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=World Economic Forum |title=Rethinking Financial Innovation |date=2012 |url=http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_FS_RethinkingFinancialInnovation_Report_2012.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{worldeconomicforum2012rethinking, author = {{World Economic Forum}}, title = {{Rethinking Financial Innovation}}, institution = {World Economic Forum}, year = {2012}, url = {http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_FS_RethinkingFinancialInnovation_Report_2012.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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