White Paper Outbreak Readiness and Business Impact
Summary
The report highlights a growing trend in the frequency and diversity of infectious disease outbreaks, driven by urbanization, deforestation, and climate change. It asserts that the global economy is increasingly sensitive to these events, with potential annual losses from flu pandemics estimated at $570 billion, a scale comparable to the impact of climate change. The document emphasizes that economic damage is often driven more by 'informational contagion' and behavioral changes among healthy populations than by the diseases themselves. It calls for a shift in corporate leadership from a 'wait-and-see' approach to a holistic risk management framework involving public-private cooperation, supply chain mapping, and proactive communication to protect employees, assets, and revenue.
Key insights
- The frequency and diversity of infectious disease outbreaks have increased over the last 30 years, with 12,012 outbreaks recorded between 1980 and 2013.
- Global preparedness is insufficient; over 80% of countries that have undergone Joint External Evaluation (JEE) are not ready to find, stop, or prevent an epidemic.
- The annualized economic impact of flu pandemics is estimated at $570 billion when including mortality, which is similar in magnitude to the $890 billion annual impact of climate change.
- Economic losses from outbreaks are primarily driven by the behavioral changes of healthy people avoiding infection rather than the direct impact on the sick; one estimate suggests only 39% of losses are associated with infected individuals.
- Globalization and just-in-time manufacturing have increased corporate vulnerability, as disruptions in remote regions can cause critical delays due to limited visibility beyond first-tier suppliers.
- The 2014 Ebola crisis in West Africa caused significant damage to extractive industries, including mine closures and reduced foreign investment, with a total estimated cost of $53 billion for Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone.
Cite the original document
- APA
- World Economic Forum (2019). White Paper Outbreak Readiness and Business Impact. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF%20HGHI_Outbreak_Readiness_Business_Impact.pdf
- Chicago
- World Economic Forum. White Paper Outbreak Readiness and Business Impact. 2019. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF%20HGHI_Outbreak_Readiness_Business_Impact.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=World Economic Forum |title=White Paper Outbreak Readiness and Business Impact |date=January 2019 |url=http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF%20HGHI_Outbreak_Readiness_Business_Impact.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{worldeconomicforum2019white, author = {{World Economic Forum}}, title = {{White Paper Outbreak Readiness and Business Impact}}, institution = {World Economic Forum}, year = {2019}, month = jan, url = {http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF%20HGHI_Outbreak_Readiness_Business_Impact.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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