INCREASING PUBLIC UNDERSTANDING OF CLIMATE RISKS & CHOICES: Learning from Social Science Research and Practice

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The document details a workshop between social scientists, climate scientists, and various leaders to address why the American public remains divided on climate change despite scientific consensus. It argues that communication must shift from a 'knowledge deficit' model to one based on shared values, targeted messaging for the 'persuadable middle,' and the use of diverse, non-traditional messengers.

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  • There is a significant gap between the scientific consensus on climate change and a 'social consensus' in the United States. Public belief in global warming declined by 14% between 2008 and 2011, with only around 51% of Americans understanding that warming had already begun by 2011.
  • Public skepticism of climate change is driven more by 'motivated reasoning' and cultural cognition than by a lack of scientific knowledge. Individuals tend to filter information to align with their identity and deeply held cultural values, rejecting evidence that challenges those values.
  • Effective communication should target the 'persuadable middle'—the mass public—rather than attempting to convince 'die-hard skeptics.' This approach is compared to a jury trial where the goal is to win over the silent jury rather than the opposing counsel.
  • The 'knowledge deficit' model—the assumption that providing more facts will change minds—is considered a 'fool's errand.' Instead, communicators should 'come as a friend,' affirming the listener's sense of self and linking climate action to their existing values.
  • The identity of the messenger is as critical as the message itself. Trusted leaders from non-traditional environmental backgrounds—such as faith leaders, business executives, and conservatives—can break through cultural filters by framing climate change through stewardship, accountability, or risk management.
  • Communication strategies should move beyond traditional media to include visual information, social media, and diverse venues such as museums, zoos, and pulpits. There is also a call to utilize 'citizen science' to engage younger generations.
  • Narrative storytelling and personal anecdotes are more compelling than pedantic or technical dialogues. Stories that depict a world that is 'orderly, just, right, and good' can resonate across the political spectrum.
  • There is a tension between using 'doom and gloom' urgency versus positive, solution-oriented messaging. While some argue that positive calls-to-action and concrete adaptation measures are more engaging, others warn against underplaying the seriousness of the 'carbon bomb.'

Cite the original document

APA
Balbus, A. (2012). INCREASING PUBLIC UNDERSTANDING OF CLIMATE RISKS & CHOICES: Learning from Social Science Research and Practice. Union of Concerned Scientists. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2018/01/gw-Increasing-Public-Understanding-of-Climate-Risks-and-Choices.pdf
Chicago
Balbus, Arielle. INCREASING PUBLIC UNDERSTANDING OF CLIMATE RISKS & CHOICES: Learning from Social Science Research and Practice. Union of Concerned Scientists, 2012. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2018/01/gw-Increasing-Public-Understanding-of-Climate-Risks-and-Choices.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Balbus |first1=Arielle |title=INCREASING PUBLIC UNDERSTANDING OF CLIMATE RISKS & CHOICES: Learning from Social Science Research and Practice |publisher=Union of Concerned Scientists |date=May 2012 |url=https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2018/01/gw-Increasing-Public-Understanding-of-Climate-Risks-and-Choices.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{balbus2012increasing, author = {Balbus, Arielle}, title = {{INCREASING PUBLIC UNDERSTANDING OF CLIMATE RISKS \& CHOICES: Learning from Social Science Research and Practice}}, institution = {Union of Concerned Scientists}, year = {2012}, month = may, url = {https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2018/01/gw-Increasing-Public-Understanding-of-Climate-Risks-and-Choices.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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