Front Lines: Rising Seas

The document projects that sea levels at NSB Kings Bay will rise between 3.7 and 6.1 feet by the end of the century, leading to more frequent tidal flooding and severe storm surge. Under a highest-scenario Category 4 storm in 2100, nearly 95 percent of the base could be flooded, with over half of that area under 20 feet of water. The author argues that there is a large gap in military preparedness and calls for Congress and the Department of Defense to provide high-resolution modeling, funding for tide gauge networks, and resources for detailed mapping and adaptive planning.

• Sea levels in the Kings Bay area are projected to rise by 3.7 to 6.1 feet by the end of the 21st century.
• Tidal flooding frequency is expected to increase significantly by 2070, occurring roughly 250 times per year in the intermediate scenario and over 600 times per year in the highest scenario.
• Sea level rise will increase the base's vulnerability to storm surges; by 2100, a Category 1 storm would flood an area equivalent to what a Category 2 storm floods today.
• In a worst-case end-of-century scenario with six feet of sea level rise, a Category 4 storm could flood nearly 95 percent of the base, with more than half of that area submerged under 20 feet or more of water.
• The author asserts that the military's current level of preparedness for sea level rise is insufficient relative to the projected threats.

APA

Union of Concerned Scientists (2016). Front Lines: Rising Seas. https://www.ucs.org/resources/front-lines-rising-seas-naval-submarine-base-kings-bay-georgia

Chicago

Union of Concerned Scientists. Front Lines: Rising Seas. 2016. https://www.ucs.org/resources/front-lines-rising-seas-naval-submarine-base-kings-bay-georgia.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Union of Concerned Scientists |title=Front Lines: Rising Seas |date=15 July 2016 |url=https://www.ucs.org/resources/front-lines-rising-seas-naval-submarine-base-kings-bay-georgia |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{unionofconcernedscientists2016front, author = {{Union of Concerned Scientists}}, title = {{Front Lines: Rising Seas}}, institution = {Union of Concerned Scientists}, year = {2016}, month = jul, url = {https://www.ucs.org/resources/front-lines-rising-seas-naval-submarine-base-kings-bay-georgia}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }