Front Lines: Rising Seas - Naval Air Station Oceana Dam Neck Annex

The Naval Air Station Oceana Dam Neck Annex faces significant risks from sea level rise, with projections indicating that up to 75% of the installation could be underwater during daily high tides by 2100 under a high-emission scenario. The analysis warns that by the end of the century, a Category 1 storm would expose at least 95% of the station to storm surge flooding, and a Category 4 storm could result in nearly 60% of the installation flooding to depths of 20 feet or more. The document argues that there is a growing gap between current military preparedness and these threats, calling for increased funding for high-resolution modeling, tide gauge networks, and detailed mapping to implement adaptive measures.

• Sea levels in the Dam Neck area are projected to rise between 4.5 and 6.9 feet by the end of the 21st century.
• Under the highest sea level rise scenario, 75% of Dam Neck is projected to be underwater during daily high tides by 2100, an area roughly equivalent to the flooding caused by a Category 1 hurricane currently.
• By 2100, under either the intermediate or highest scenario, at least 95% of the station will be exposed to storm surge flooding during a Category 1 storm.
• In a worst-case end-of-century scenario involving a Category 4 storm, nearly 60% of the installation could experience flooding depths of 20 feet or more.
• The author asserts that the military's current level of preparedness for sea level rise is insufficient relative to the projected threats.

APA

Union of Concerned Scientists (2016). Front Lines: Rising Seas - Naval Air Station Oceana Dam Neck Annex. https://www.ucs.org/resources/front-lines-rising-seas-naval-air-station-oceana-dam-neck-annex

Chicago

Union of Concerned Scientists. Front Lines: Rising Seas - Naval Air Station Oceana Dam Neck Annex. 2016. https://www.ucs.org/resources/front-lines-rising-seas-naval-air-station-oceana-dam-neck-annex.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Union of Concerned Scientists |title=Front Lines: Rising Seas - Naval Air Station Oceana Dam Neck Annex |date=15 July 2016 |url=https://www.ucs.org/resources/front-lines-rising-seas-naval-air-station-oceana-dam-neck-annex |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{unionofconcernedscientists2016front, author = {{Union of Concerned Scientists}}, title = {{Front Lines: Rising Seas - Naval Air Station Oceana Dam Neck Annex}}, institution = {Union of Concerned Scientists}, year = {2016}, month = jul, url = {https://www.ucs.org/resources/front-lines-rising-seas-naval-air-station-oceana-dam-neck-annex}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }