Blind Spots: The Green Transi­tion and the IMF's Economic Surveillance

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The report argues that the IMF's economic surveillance of Colombia and Indonesia reveals significant 'blind spots' regarding the green transition. It finds that the IMF prioritizes austerity and market-based pricing mechanisms over green industrial policies and fails to adequately quantify long-term climate risks or the financing needs for adaptation and mitigation. The authors call for a systematic integration of climate issues into policy recommendations, better sequencing of fiscal advice, and wider engagement with civil society.

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  • The IMF continues to favor market-oriented strategies and pricing mechanisms, such as the removal of energy subsidies, while neglecting green industrial policies and non-pricing instruments.
  • Coverage of physical, transition, and spillover climate risks in the IMF's surveillance is described as cursory, with a failure to properly quantify the costs of inaction or the necessary investments for adaptation.

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APA
Stubbs, T., & Ken­ti­kelenis, A. (2023). Blind Spots: The Green Transi­tion and the IMF's Economic Surveillance. Trend Asia. https://trendasia.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/BLIND-SPOTS-spreads-2.pdf
Chicago
Stubbs, Thomas, and Alexandros Ken­ti­kelenis. Blind Spots: The Green Transi­tion and the IMF's Economic Surveillance. Trend Asia, 2023. https://trendasia.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/BLIND-SPOTS-spreads-2.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Stubbs |first1=Thomas |last2=Ken­ti­kelenis |first2=Alexandros |title=Blind Spots: The Green Transi­tion and the IMF's Economic Surveillance |publisher=Trend Asia |date=October 2023 |url=https://trendasia.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/BLIND-SPOTS-spreads-2.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{stubbs2023blind, author = {Stubbs, Thomas and Ken­ti­kelenis, Alexandros}, title = {{Blind Spots: The Green Transi­tion and the IMF's Economic Surveillance}}, institution = {Trend Asia}, year = {2023}, month = oct, url = {https://trendasia.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/BLIND-SPOTS-spreads-2.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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