Informe sobre la brecha de producción de 2023

The 2023 Production Gap Report finds that governments plan to produce significantly more fossil fuels by 2030 and 2050 than is compatible with the 1.5°C goal of the Paris Agreement. Despite net-zero commitments, major producers continue to plan expansions, with coal production projected to increase until 2030 and oil and gas until at least 2050. The report emphasizes that relying on carbon capture and storage (CCS) and carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is risky due to technical failures and scale issues, urging a phase-out of coal by 2040 and a reduction of oil and gas to 25% of 2020 levels by 2050.

• Governments currently plan to produce more than double the amount of fossil fuels by 2030 compared to what is consistent with limiting global warming to 1.5°C. Specifically, planned production for 2030 is approximately 110% above 1.5°C-consistent levels and 69% above 2°C-consistent levels.
• Global production projections indicate that coal production will increase until 2030, while oil and gas production will increase until at least 2050. By 2030, planned production levels exceed 1.5°C-consistent pathways by 460% for coal, 82% for gas, and 29% for oil.
• There is a significant misalignment between the climate ambitions of major producing nations and their production plans. While 17 of 20 analyzed major producers have committed to net-zero emissions, none have taken responsibility for reducing fossil fuel production to align with the 1.5°C limit.
• The report warns that relying on carbon capture and storage (CCS) and carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is highly uncertain; approximately 80% of CCS pilot projects over the last 30 years have failed, and current operational CO2 storage capacity is less than 0.01 GtCO2 per year.
• To mitigate risks associated with CCS and CDR, the report recommends a phase-out of coal production and use almost entirely by 2040, and a combined reduction of oil and gas production and use to a maximum of one-quarter of 2020 levels by 2050.
• Existing fossil fuel production infrastructure already threatens the 1.5°C goal, as the CO2 expected to be emitted over its remaining lifespan exceeds the remaining carbon budget for a 50% chance of limiting warming to 1.5°C by 2100.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2023). Informe sobre la brecha de producción de 2023. https://productiongap.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/SEI_PGR2023_ExecSum_fnl_Spanish.pdf

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Informe sobre la brecha de producción de 2023. 2023. https://productiongap.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/SEI_PGR2023_ExecSum_fnl_Spanish.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Informe sobre la brecha de producción de 2023 |date=2023 |url=https://productiongap.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/SEI_PGR2023_ExecSum_fnl_Spanish.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2023informe, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Informe sobre la brecha de producción de 2023}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2023}, url = {https://productiongap.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/SEI_PGR2023_ExecSum_fnl_Spanish.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }