Submission to the First Technical Dialogue of the Global Stocktake

The Stockholm Environment Institute argues that current global efforts are inadequate, highlighting a significant 'production gap' where fossil fuel plans exceed 1.5°C limits. The report emphasizes the need for 'just resilience' in adaptation, the urgent requirement for dedicated loss and damage financing, and the necessity of aligning financial flows with low-emission pathways while ensuring equity for developing nations.

• There is a significant gap between government fossil fuel production plans and the goals of the Paris Agreement; by 2030, producing countries plan to extract more than twice the amount of oil, gas, and coal compatible with a 1.5°C warming limit, and 45% more than compatible with 2°C.
• While 136 countries representing 90% of global GDP and 88% of emissions have set net zero targets, these pledges often lack specific policy planning, scope, and near-term action requirements, and may rely too heavily on negative emission technologies.
• Climate mitigation efforts can be enhanced by linking them to health and air quality benefits; for example, implementing current NDCs could prevent 400,000 premature deaths annually by 2050, increasing to 1 million if targets align with a 2°C limit.
• All countries face transboundary climate risks through agricultural trade; the US, China, and Brazil are identified as significant sources of risk for global commodity markets, particularly affecting food security in Africa, Asia, and Latin America.
• National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) are progressing slowly, with only 34 countries having submitted them to the registry; these plans typically overlook human rights principles and transboundary risks, focusing instead on domestic hazards.
• Adaptation finance for Africa is severely insufficient and poorly targeted; between 2014 and 2018, commitments remained below US$5.5 billion per year, with a disbursement ratio of only 46% and a bias toward mitigation over adaptation.
• Global climate finance is not yet aligned with 1.5°C pathways, with clean energy investment at only one-third of the required level; furthermore, investments in 'brown' sectors like oil and gas have continued to increase since 2015.
• Just transition efforts are currently too narrow, focusing primarily on labor policies in the energy sector; they need to expand to other GHG-intensive sectors, such as food production, and address socio-cultural impacts.
• Progress on loss and damage (L&D) is limited by the lack of a formal definition and financial mechanisms; annual finance needs for developing countries are estimated to reach between US$200 billion and US$580 billion by 2030.

APA

Araújo, J. V., Arond, E., Barrott, J., Bharwani, S., Boyland, M., Broekhoff, D., Browne, K., Cinderby, S., Harris, K., Hocquet, R., Hoy, A., Kartha, S., Kirsimaa, K., Klein, R., Lazarus, M., Lehtmets, J., Lindblom, A., Malley, C., Maltais, A., ... Yehle, E. (2022). Submission to the First Technical Dialogue of the Global Stocktake. Stockholm Environment Institute. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/sei-gst-submission-20220225.pdf

Chicago

Araújo, José Vega, Elisa Arond, Julia Barrott, Sukaina Bharwani, Michael Boyland, Derik Broekhoff, Katherine Browne, et al. Submission to the First Technical Dialogue of the Global Stocktake. Stockholm Environment Institute, 2022. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/sei-gst-submission-20220225.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Araújo |first1=José Vega |last2=Arond |first2=Elisa |last3=Barrott |first3=Julia |last4=Bharwani |first4=Sukaina |last5=Boyland |first5=Michael |last6=Broekhoff |first6=Derik |last7=Browne |first7=Katherine |last8=Cinderby |first8=Steve |last9=Harris |first9=Katy |display-authors=etal |title=Submission to the First Technical Dialogue of the Global Stocktake |publisher=Stockholm Environment Institute |date=February 2022 |url=https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/sei-gst-submission-20220225.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{arajo2022submission, author = {Araújo, José Vega and Arond, Elisa and Barrott, Julia and Bharwani, Sukaina and Boyland, Michael and Broekhoff, Derik and Browne, Katherine and Cinderby, Steve and Harris, Katy and Hocquet, Robin and Hoy, Andreas and Kartha, Sivan and Kirsimaa, Kerli and Klein, Richard and Lazarus, Michael and Lehtmets, Johanna and Lindblom, Andrea and Malley, Chris and Maltais, Aaron and Marbuah, George and Mete, Gökçe and Cabré, Miquel Muñoz and Persson, Åsa and Salamanca, Albert and Shawoo, Zoha and Strambo, Claudia and Tuhkanen, Heidi and Verkuijl, Cleo and Yang, Carolina and Yehle, Emily}, title = {{Submission to the First Technical Dialogue of the Global Stocktake}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2022}, month = feb, url = {https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/sei-gst-submission-20220225.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }