National Comprehensive Green Transition Assessment Report for Ukraine

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The report evaluates Ukraine's green transition readiness, identifying 'Significant Progress' in climate change and energy, 'Some Progress' in clean industry, buildings, transport, agriculture, biodiversity, and finance, and 'Little Progress' in zero-pollution, just transition, digitalization, and research and innovation. It emphasizes the need for high-level coordination, a national sustainable finance taxonomy, and the integration of 'build back better' principles into post-war reconstruction to achieve climate neutrality by 2050.

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  • Ukraine aims for climate neutrality by 2050 and a 65% reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2030 relative to 1990 levels, guided by the Law on Climate Policy (2024) and the National Energy and Climate Plan 2025–2030.
  • The ongoing war has significantly impacted GHG accounting, with war-related emissions reaching 230 MtCO2e since the 2022 invasion, equivalent to the annual emissions of Austria, Hungary, Czech Republic, and Slovakia combined.
  • Ukraine's energy sector targets 27% renewable energy by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2050, though 50% of energy generation capacity and 50% of renewable energy generation are currently under Russian occupation.
  • The industrial sector faces severe challenges, with total damage to commerce and industry facilities estimated at US$17.5 billion by December 31, 2024, and a CO2 emissions intensity approximately seven times higher than the EU27 average.
  • The EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) poses a significant risk to Ukraine's economy, particularly the iron and steel sector, which accounts for 93% of CBAM-regulated exports; GDP could contract by up to $790 million by 2026 and $4.9 billion by 2030.
  • Ukraine's building stock is highly inefficient, with residential buildings consuming an average of 264 kWh/m² annually compared to the EU average of 180 kWh/m², and an annual renovation rate of only 1% per building type.
  • The transport sector is heavily reliant on fossil fuels, with road emissions accounting for over 70% of all transport emissions and an average vehicle fleet age of approximately 19 years as of 2015.
  • Agriculture has suffered damages up to USD 80 billion due to the war, and the sector lacks a comprehensive national strategy for green transition despite having some of the world's most fertile land.
  • Biodiversity protection is hindered by a lack of a habitat-based conservation approach and the fact that Ukraine is not on track to reach the global goal of protecting 30% of land and sea area by 2030.
  • Ukraine lacks a national sustainable finance taxonomy, which increases the risk of green-washing and hinders the mobilization of private climate finance, which totaled approximately USD 2.3 billion from 2017-2022.
  • The planned closure of all coal mines is expected to lead to job losses for over 60,000 individuals, necessitating a just transition approach that expands beyond coal to include other vulnerable sectors.
  • Ukraine's research and innovation (R&I) sector is severely underfunded, with Gross Domestic Expenditure on Research and Development (GERD) reaching a historic low of 0.33% of GDP in 2023.

Cite the original document

APA
I., K., G., G., B., L., E., T., & P., S. J. (2025). National Comprehensive Green Transition Assessment Report for Ukraine. Stockholm Environment Institute. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/nationalcomprehensiveassessment-ukraine.pdf
Chicago
I., Krustok,, Gladkykh, G., Leshchyshyn, B., Tšerkašina, E., and Silva, J. P. National Comprehensive Green Transition Assessment Report for Ukraine. Stockholm Environment Institute, 2025. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/nationalcomprehensiveassessment-ukraine.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=I. |first1=Krustok, |last2=G. |first2=Gladkykh, |last3=B. |first3=Leshchyshyn, |last4=E. |first4=Tšerkašina, |last5=P. |first5=Silva, J. |title=National Comprehensive Green Transition Assessment Report for Ukraine |publisher=Stockholm Environment Institute |date=May 2025 |url=https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/nationalcomprehensiveassessment-ukraine.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{i2025national, author = {I., Krustok, and G., Gladkykh, and B., Leshchyshyn, and E., Tšerkašina, and P., Silva, J.}, title = {{National Comprehensive Green Transition Assessment Report for Ukraine}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2025}, month = may, url = {https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/nationalcomprehensiveassessment-ukraine.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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