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The Republic of Armenia's Third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0) for 2026-2035 outlines economy-wide greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets and comprehensive adaptation strategies to address high climate vulnerability in a landlocked, mountainous region.

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  • Armenia has established two GHG emission reduction targets for 2035 relative to 1990 levels: an unconditional target of 44% and a conditional target of 52%.
  • The energy sector is the primary source of emissions, representing 66% of total emissions in 2022. Mitigation focuses on expanding solar photovoltaic capacity to 1,200 MW by 2035 (unconditional) or 1,375 MW (conditional), and developing wind energy with a target of 200 MW by 2035.
  • Armenia aims to reduce fugitive methane emissions from natural gas infrastructure through a PSRC-approved investment program for “Gazprom Armenia” CJSC totaling approximately USD 363 million for 2025–2029.
  • In the transport sector, Armenia targets the import of 172,000 electric vehicles (EVs) by 2035 and plans to modernize Yerevan's public transport with up to 250 new 18-meter articulated electric buses.
  • Agricultural mitigation measures include the import of high-value cattle breeds (8,000 unconditionally; 50,000 conditionally) by 2035, the establishment of 100 “smart farms” to eliminate manure-related emissions from 4,000 cattle, and a nationwide ban on open burning of crop residues.
  • For Land Use, Land-Use Change, and Forestry (LULUCF), Armenia targets sustainable afforestation and reforestation of 25,000 hectares unconditionally or 50,000 hectares conditionally by 2035.
  • Waste sector goals include the commissioning of the Hrazdan sanitary landfill (opened July 2025) and the construction of a new landfill in Nubarashen, Yerevan, alongside four other regional landfills.
  • Armenia faces severe climate risks, including a projected temperature increase of 2.8°C by the 2050s and a precipitation decline of up to 8.3% by the end of the century, which threatens water security and agriculture.
  • The total estimated cost for implementing the NDC 3.0 program from 2026–2035 is approximately AMD 2 trillion, with AMD 1.5 trillion (≈ USD 3.8 billion) for mitigation and AMD 498 billion (≈ USD 1.3 billion) for adaptation.
  • Adaptation priorities include constructing 17 reservoirs, expanding flood protection in 50% of priority river basins, and upgrading 50 healthcare facilities to meet climate-resilient and seismically safe standards by 2035.

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APA
Stockholm Environment Institute (n.d.). 5223-5a105fa2498058e2.pdf. https://leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5223.pdf
Chicago
Stockholm Environment Institute. 5223-5a105fa2498058e2.pdf. n.d. https://leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5223.pdf.
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{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=5223-5a105fa2498058e2.pdf |url=https://leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5223.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitutend52235a105fa2498058e2pdf, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{5223-5a105fa2498058e2.pdf}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, url = {https://leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5223.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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